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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida0.94+2.70vs Predicted
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2University of Miami0.72+2.17vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.83+0.98vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.05-1.32vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University0.04-1.66vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.56-3.52vs Predicted
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9University of Florida1.59-6.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7University of South Florida0.940.2%1st Place
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4.17University of Miami0.720.1%1st Place
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3.98Rollins College0.830.1%1st Place
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3.68Eckerd College1.050.2%1st Place
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5.34Embry-Riddle University0.040.0%1st Place
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4.48Jacksonville University0.560.1%1st Place
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2.64University of Florida1.590.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Amos | 15.8% | 15.9% | 17.6% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 8.9% |
| Jackson Cranfield | 11.0% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 17.5% | 16.1% | 13.5% |
| Jason Limbach | 13.2% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 10.8% |
| Evann Martin | 16.2% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 7.1% |
| Branden Nathe | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 20.1% | 38.6% |
| Lily Everson | 9.2% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 18.3% | 19.4% |
| Michelle Thomas | 30.1% | 24.6% | 17.8% | 14.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.