← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University1.26+7.95vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University1.97+4.06vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16+6.18vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University1.14+5.23vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy1.95+1.30vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University0.86+4.32vs Predicted
-
7Rollins College0.95+3.07vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62+3.14vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.04+0.53vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy1.32-1.40vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University1.59-3.47vs Predicted
-
12Georgetown University0.43-0.34vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-6.14vs Predicted
-
14Georgetown University-0.15-0.36vs Predicted
-
15Old Dominion University0.59-3.78vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Naval Academy1.39-7.62vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Naval Academy2.57-12.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.95Old Dominion University1.265.2%1st Place
-
6.06Georgetown University1.979.5%1st Place
-
9.18St. Mary's College of Maryland1.164.3%1st Place
-
9.23Georgetown University1.145.0%1st Place
-
6.3U. S. Naval Academy1.9510.1%1st Place
-
10.32Old Dominion University0.863.5%1st Place
-
10.07Rollins College0.953.6%1st Place
-
11.14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.622.5%1st Place
-
9.53St. Mary's College of Maryland1.044.2%1st Place
-
8.6U. S. Naval Academy1.324.8%1st Place
-
7.53Georgetown University1.597.5%1st Place
-
11.66Georgetown University0.432.6%1st Place
-
6.86St. Mary's College of Maryland1.797.4%1st Place
-
13.64Georgetown University-0.151.3%1st Place
-
11.22Old Dominion University0.592.8%1st Place
-
8.38U. S. Naval Academy1.395.7%1st Place
-
4.31U. S. Naval Academy2.5720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Goodwin | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Henry Haddon | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Xavier Stoldt | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Trenton Shaw | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sam Riley | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 5.9% |
| Milo Miller | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% |
| James Bounds | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% |
| Mats Braaten | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Benjamin Smith | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Adelia DeRose | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 13.9% |
| Landon Cormie | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Jack Pryma | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 37.0% |
| Olivia Gilmore | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.7% |
| Teddy Martin | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Henry Allgeier | 20.0% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.