← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy1.95+5.17vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University1.26+6.70vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.57+1.34vs Predicted
-
4Rollins College0.95+6.08vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University0.86+5.34vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University1.97+0.30vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University1.59+0.65vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University1.14+1.11vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy1.39-0.67vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-3.21vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16-2.05vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.04-2.25vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Naval Academy1.32-4.39vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62-2.78vs Predicted
-
15Georgetown University0.43-3.14vs Predicted
-
16Georgetown University-0.15-2.45vs Predicted
-
17Old Dominion University0.59-5.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.17U. S. Naval Academy1.959.8%1st Place
-
8.7Old Dominion University1.265.2%1st Place
-
4.34U. S. Naval Academy2.5719.1%1st Place
-
10.08Rollins College0.954.0%1st Place
-
10.34Old Dominion University0.862.7%1st Place
-
6.3Georgetown University1.979.6%1st Place
-
7.65Georgetown University1.597.2%1st Place
-
9.11Georgetown University1.145.1%1st Place
-
8.33U. S. Naval Academy1.395.8%1st Place
-
6.79St. Mary's College of Maryland1.798.7%1st Place
-
8.95St. Mary's College of Maryland1.165.5%1st Place
-
9.75St. Mary's College of Maryland1.043.4%1st Place
-
8.61U. S. Naval Academy1.326.4%1st Place
-
11.22St. Mary's College of Maryland0.621.8%1st Place
-
11.86Georgetown University0.432.2%1st Place
-
13.55Georgetown University-0.151.0%1st Place
-
11.27Old Dominion University0.592.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trenton Shaw | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Blake Goodwin | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Henry Allgeier | 19.1% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 4.7% |
| Sam Riley | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 5.8% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Smith | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Xavier Stoldt | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Teddy Martin | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Landon Cormie | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Henry Haddon | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Mats Braaten | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| James Bounds | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.7% |
| Adelia DeRose | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 15.4% |
| Jack Pryma | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 37.1% |
| Olivia Gilmore | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.