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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.39+7.47vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.57+2.25vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.59+4.49vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16+5.23vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.32+3.38vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.97+0.11vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.95-0.66vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.14+1.46vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62+2.26vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.04-0.34vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University0.59+0.25vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-5.26vs Predicted
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13Rollins College0.95-2.90vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.26-5.41vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University0.43-3.24vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University-0.15-2.43vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University0.86-6.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.47U. S. Naval Academy1.394.7%1st Place
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4.25U. S. Naval Academy2.5720.2%1st Place
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7.49Georgetown University1.596.8%1st Place
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9.23St. Mary's College of Maryland1.164.6%1st Place
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8.38U. S. Naval Academy1.325.8%1st Place
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6.11Georgetown University1.9710.1%1st Place
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6.34U. S. Naval Academy1.958.5%1st Place
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9.46Georgetown University1.144.5%1st Place
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11.26St. Mary's College of Maryland0.623.0%1st Place
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9.66St. Mary's College of Maryland1.043.6%1st Place
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11.25Old Dominion University0.593.0%1st Place
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6.74St. Mary's College of Maryland1.798.9%1st Place
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10.1Rollins College0.953.4%1st Place
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8.59Old Dominion University1.265.2%1st Place
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11.76Georgetown University0.432.5%1st Place
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13.57Georgetown University-0.151.5%1st Place
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10.34Old Dominion University0.864.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Martin | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Henry Allgeier | 20.2% | 16.5% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Smith | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Henry Haddon | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Trenton Shaw | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Xavier Stoldt | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| James Bounds | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.5% |
| Mats Braaten | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| Olivia Gilmore | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 11.2% |
| Landon Cormie | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Milo Miller | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% |
| Blake Goodwin | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Adelia DeRose | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 14.1% |
| Jack Pryma | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 37.1% |
| Sam Riley | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.