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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College0.83+2.87vs Predicted
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2University of Florida1.59+0.76vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.05+0.65vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.72+0.25vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University0.04-0.68vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.56-2.52vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.94-5.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87Rollins College0.830.1%1st Place
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2.76University of Florida1.590.3%1st Place
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3.65Eckerd College1.050.2%1st Place
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4.25University of Miami0.720.1%1st Place
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5.32Embry-Riddle University0.040.1%1st Place
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4.48Jacksonville University0.560.1%1st Place
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3.67University of South Florida0.940.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Limbach | 14.7% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 10.7% |
| Michelle Thomas | 26.7% | 24.6% | 20.4% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Evann Martin | 16.2% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 18.5% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 7.1% |
| Jackson Cranfield | 11.3% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 17.5% | 17.6% | 14.1% |
| Branden Nathe | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 19.5% | 39.2% |
| Lily Everson | 9.8% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 17.9% | 19.4% |
| Eric Amos | 16.1% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.