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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.57+3.39vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.95+8.00vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.14+6.35vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.97+2.17vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16+4.09vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+0.87vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.86+3.14vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University0.43+3.93vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.39-0.91vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.32-1.62vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University0.59+0.25vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62-0.70vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.04-3.39vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University-0.15-0.21vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.26-6.27vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University1.59-8.43vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy1.95-10.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39U. S. Naval Academy2.5717.8%1st Place
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10.0Rollins College0.953.6%1st Place
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9.35Georgetown University1.144.5%1st Place
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6.17Georgetown University1.9710.4%1st Place
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9.09St. Mary's College of Maryland1.165.3%1st Place
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6.87St. Mary's College of Maryland1.798.4%1st Place
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10.14Old Dominion University0.863.8%1st Place
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11.93Georgetown University0.432.8%1st Place
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8.09U. S. Naval Academy1.396.3%1st Place
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8.38U. S. Naval Academy1.326.3%1st Place
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11.25Old Dominion University0.592.7%1st Place
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11.3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.622.3%1st Place
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9.61St. Mary's College of Maryland1.043.8%1st Place
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13.79Georgetown University-0.151.1%1st Place
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8.73Old Dominion University1.265.3%1st Place
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7.57Georgetown University1.596.5%1st Place
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6.33U. S. Naval Academy1.959.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Allgeier | 17.8% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% |
| Xavier Stoldt | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Henry Haddon | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Landon Cormie | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sam Riley | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 5.7% |
| Adelia DeRose | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 15.2% |
| Teddy Martin | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Olivia Gilmore | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.6% |
| James Bounds | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 10.7% |
| Mats Braaten | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% |
| Jack Pryma | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 35.9% |
| Blake Goodwin | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Benjamin Smith | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Trenton Shaw | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.