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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.5%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.22+8.75vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.29+7.53vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+8.06vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.74+3.51vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.71+2.86vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.45+2.68vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.71+5.01vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii3.04+2.84vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.90+1.83vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.92-3.32vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-2.63vs Predicted
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13Columbia University2.43+0.53vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.85-2.87vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.50-6.34vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University4.51-11.26vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-4.71vs Predicted
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18Stanford University3.27-8.56vs Predicted
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19Old Dominion University2.87-7.80vs Predicted
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20Salve Regina University1.51-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.75College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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9.53University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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11.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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7.51U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.86Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.68Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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12.01Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.84University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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10.83Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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6.68University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.37St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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13.53Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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11.13Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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8.66Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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4.74Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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12.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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9.44Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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11.2Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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15.89Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hall | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% |
| Mary Hall | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Annie Schmidt | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 6.1% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.8% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kayla McComb | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Irene Jacqz | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 12.7% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 4.1% |
| Claire Dennis | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Sydney Bolger | 19.3% | 16.0% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Gullick | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 7.8% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 14.2% | 42.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.