← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.57+3.27vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.95+7.91vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.59+4.60vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+3.00vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.14+4.19vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16+3.26vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.39+1.12vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.04+1.57vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.32-0.41vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University1.97-3.94vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.95-4.71vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62-0.83vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.59-1.62vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University-0.15-0.30vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University0.43-3.23vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.86-5.74vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.26-8.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.27U. S. Naval Academy2.5718.6%1st Place
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9.91Rollins College0.954.0%1st Place
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7.6Georgetown University1.597.5%1st Place
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7.0St. Mary's College of Maryland1.798.5%1st Place
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9.19Georgetown University1.145.1%1st Place
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9.26St. Mary's College of Maryland1.164.5%1st Place
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8.12U. S. Naval Academy1.395.8%1st Place
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9.57St. Mary's College of Maryland1.044.0%1st Place
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8.59U. S. Naval Academy1.325.7%1st Place
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6.06Georgetown University1.9710.4%1st Place
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6.29U. S. Naval Academy1.9510.4%1st Place
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11.17St. Mary's College of Maryland0.622.8%1st Place
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11.38Old Dominion University0.592.4%1st Place
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13.7Georgetown University-0.151.0%1st Place
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11.77Georgetown University0.431.8%1st Place
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10.26Old Dominion University0.862.9%1st Place
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8.87Old Dominion University1.264.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Allgeier | 18.6% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.5% |
| Benjamin Smith | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Landon Cormie | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Xavier Stoldt | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Henry Haddon | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Teddy Martin | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Mats Braaten | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Jeffrey Petersen | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Trenton Shaw | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| James Bounds | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.2% |
| Olivia Gilmore | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 11.0% |
| Jack Pryma | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 36.2% |
| Adelia DeRose | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 15.1% |
| Sam Riley | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% |
| Blake Goodwin | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.