Race 8A

tom-curtis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Trenton Shaw 10.1% 9.6% 9.7% 8.6% 8.8% 8.4% 8.5% 6.9% 6.6% 6.7% 4.8% 4.2% 3.2% 2.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.3%
Henry Allgeier 18.2% 16.1% 12.2% 12.4% 10.2% 8.1% 7.0% 5.5% 3.5% 2.9% 1.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Jeffrey Petersen 9.9% 12.2% 10.4% 9.0% 7.9% 10.3% 7.0% 7.0% 6.0% 5.0% 4.8% 3.8% 3.0% 1.9% 1.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Xavier Stoldt 5.5% 4.2% 4.7% 5.5% 5.8% 5.5% 5.9% 7.0% 7.0% 6.7% 6.7% 7.1% 7.5% 6.5% 6.5% 5.0% 2.8%
Mats Braaten 4.0% 4.5% 4.5% 5.4% 4.5% 4.8% 5.2% 6.2% 6.6% 6.6% 7.2% 5.7% 7.8% 8.6% 8.4% 6.9% 3.3%
Benjamin Smith 8.0% 6.8% 7.8% 7.5% 7.5% 7.3% 7.0% 7.4% 8.0% 6.8% 6.3% 5.8% 4.3% 4.2% 3.0% 1.4% 0.8%
Spencer Dominguez 4.9% 5.5% 5.6% 6.3% 6.9% 5.4% 7.2% 6.9% 7.1% 7.9% 7.2% 6.9% 6.0% 6.0% 4.5% 4.0% 1.6%
Milo Miller 3.8% 3.8% 4.2% 4.4% 4.7% 4.7% 5.5% 5.8% 5.7% 6.3% 6.9% 7.0% 9.0% 8.5% 8.3% 6.5% 5.0%
Blake Goodwin 5.9% 5.1% 6.0% 5.9% 6.0% 5.8% 5.1% 7.0% 6.2% 6.8% 7.0% 7.2% 7.2% 6.8% 5.7% 4.5% 1.8%
Olivia Gilmore 2.1% 3.3% 3.2% 3.0% 3.6% 2.9% 4.3% 5.0% 5.1% 6.0% 5.2% 6.8% 8.8% 7.4% 9.9% 12.7% 10.5%
Landon Cormie 7.9% 8.2% 8.8% 8.4% 8.8% 8.5% 8.5% 7.2% 6.7% 5.5% 5.9% 4.9% 3.6% 3.2% 2.4% 1.1% 0.5%
James Bounds 2.4% 3.5% 3.2% 3.5% 3.5% 4.0% 4.2% 4.9% 4.5% 5.8% 6.5% 6.9% 7.6% 7.4% 9.6% 11.8% 10.8%
Jack Pryma 1.1% 0.8% 1.3% 1.8% 2.1% 2.5% 1.7% 2.4% 2.8% 3.3% 3.7% 4.2% 4.9% 7.1% 8.6% 13.7% 38.1%
Adelia DeRose 2.2% 3.1% 2.9% 3.2% 2.9% 3.9% 3.7% 3.9% 3.9% 4.5% 4.9% 7.0% 7.2% 7.3% 10.9% 13.3% 15.2%
Henry Haddon 4.8% 3.6% 4.9% 5.1% 5.4% 6.2% 7.0% 5.5% 6.9% 6.9% 7.6% 7.8% 6.7% 6.7% 7.0% 5.3% 2.7%
Teddy Martin 5.1% 5.8% 7.0% 5.9% 6.6% 6.1% 7.3% 6.9% 7.0% 6.5% 7.3% 7.2% 5.3% 6.2% 4.7% 3.9% 1.2%
Sam Riley 4.2% 4.1% 3.4% 4.0% 4.7% 5.7% 4.8% 4.8% 6.4% 6.0% 6.2% 6.8% 7.0% 9.8% 7.9% 8.9% 5.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.