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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+8.54vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.22+7.76vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61+9.51vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.51-0.33vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+5.30vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.92-0.21vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.71+4.03vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.29+0.71vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.50-1.61vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii3.04-0.59vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.71-4.41vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.45-3.95vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.85-2.94vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.74-7.39vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-7.66vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.87-5.79vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.90-6.88vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University1.51-2.80vs Predicted
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20Columbia University2.43-7.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.54Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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9.76College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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12.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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4.67Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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11.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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6.79University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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12.03Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.71University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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8.39Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.41University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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7.59Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.05Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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11.06Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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7.61U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.34St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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11.21Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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11.12Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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16.2Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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12.71Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Corey Hall | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Katherine Gullick | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 9.7% |
| Sydney Bolger | 16.3% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 2.9% |
| Amy Hawkins | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Mary Hall | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Kayla McComb | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Corina Radtke | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.6% |
| Emilie Mademann | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 3.5% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 46.3% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.