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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.71+6.16vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.17+6.69vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.20+6.24vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.44+4.34vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+3.41vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.11+2.90vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.97+1.23vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.59+1.89vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.17-1.08vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.05-1.20vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-3.11vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University1.27-3.35vs Predicted
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13Cornell University0.93-3.71vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.65-1.03vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68-8.07vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-6.49vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.02-4.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.16University of Southern California1.718.9%1st Place
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8.69Fordham University1.175.9%1st Place
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9.24Connecticut College1.204.7%1st Place
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8.34George Washington University1.445.9%1st Place
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8.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.737.0%1st Place
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8.9Tufts University1.115.8%1st Place
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8.23Boston University0.976.9%1st Place
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9.89Northeastern University1.593.6%1st Place
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7.92Eckerd College1.177.8%1st Place
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8.8University of Vermont1.055.9%1st Place
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7.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.277.3%1st Place
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8.65Northwestern University1.276.4%1st Place
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9.29Cornell University0.935.5%1st Place
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12.97Christopher Newport University0.652.1%1st Place
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6.93St. Mary's College of Maryland1.688.7%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.995.7%1st Place
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12.19SUNY Maritime College-0.022.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% |
| Skylor Sweet | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% |
| Brayden Benesch | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% |
| Jordan Vieira | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| James Kopack | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Jake Weinstein | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Boris Bialer | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 15.2% | 30.0% |
| Nathan Jensen | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Reed McAllister | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 4.9% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.