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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.73+2.49vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy2.20+2.52vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut2.60+0.77vs Predicted
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4Bates College2.26+0.40vs Predicted
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5Brandeis University1.25+1.30vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University3.26-4.38vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.23-1.51vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire0.21-0.83vs Predicted
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10Williams College0.22-1.77vs Predicted
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11Amherst College0.92-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49Bowdoin College2.730.2%1st Place
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4.52Maine Maritime Academy2.200.1%1st Place
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3.77University of Connecticut2.600.2%1st Place
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4.4Bates College2.260.1%1st Place
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6.3Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
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2.62Northeastern University3.260.3%1st Place
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6.49Middlebury College1.230.0%1st Place
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8.17University of New Hampshire0.210.0%1st Place
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8.23Williams College0.220.0%1st Place
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7.02Amherst College0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Williamson | 19.3% | 19.4% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| John Joseph | 10.8% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Jon Beery | 16.5% | 15.0% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| David Pierce | 10.0% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 16.9% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Jared Dunn | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 6.8% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 30.6% | 25.8% | 17.0% | 13.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anna Hopper | 3.5% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 6.8% |
| Terry Clarke | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 22.8% | 35.2% |
| Joshua Revkin | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 22.4% | 37.3% |
| Nick Belsito | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 19.2% | 19.9% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.