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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61+11.37vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.45+6.86vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+8.13vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.51+0.70vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.92+2.03vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.71+5.83vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.74+0.63vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.22+2.03vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.27+0.29vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-1.62vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.71-3.40vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.29-2.17vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.87-1.93vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.50-5.31vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.51+0.97vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.85-4.68vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.90-5.87vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii3.04-7.58vs Predicted
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20Columbia University2.43-7.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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8.86Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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11.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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4.7Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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7.03University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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11.83Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.63U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.03College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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9.29Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.38St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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7.6Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.83University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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11.07Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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8.69Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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15.97Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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11.32Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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11.13Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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10.42University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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12.71Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Gullick | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 4.6% |
| Sydney Bolger | 16.2% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 6.9% |
| Mary Hall | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Corey Hall | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Kayla McComb | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 46.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% |
| Emilie Mademann | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 3.6% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.