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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.85+10.38vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.45+6.80vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.27+6.61vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.71+3.61vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.22+5.07vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.74+1.51vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.29+2.51vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61+4.58vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+1.75vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University4.51-5.38vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.92-5.22vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.90-1.49vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.71-2.26vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii3.04-4.35vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-7.60vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.87-5.77vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.51-1.95vs Predicted
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19Yale University3.50-10.53vs Predicted
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20Columbia University2.43-7.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.38Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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8.8Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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9.61Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.61Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.07College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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7.51U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.51University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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12.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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10.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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4.62Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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6.78University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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11.51Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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11.74Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.65University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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8.4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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11.23Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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16.05Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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8.47Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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12.74Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Borshoff | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 4.4% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Corey Hall | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Mary Hall | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Katherine Gullick | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 8.6% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% |
| Sydney Bolger | 16.9% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.8% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Kayla McComb | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Corina Radtke | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 48.1% |
| Claire Dennis | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.