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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61+11.35vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.22+7.81vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.71+9.09vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.51+0.74vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.71+2.88vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.90+5.01vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.29+2.51vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.74-0.12vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.27+0.30vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii3.04+0.50vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.92-4.21vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.51+4.48vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.85-1.91vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-2.85vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.50-7.52vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-8.62vs Predicted
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18Columbia University2.43-4.94vs Predicted
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19Brown University3.45-10.34vs Predicted
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20Old Dominion University2.87-9.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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9.81College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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12.09Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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4.74Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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7.88Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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11.01Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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9.51University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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7.88U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.3Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.5University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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6.79University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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16.48Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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11.09Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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11.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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8.48Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.38St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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13.06Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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8.66Brown University3.450.0%1st Place
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10.83Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Gullick | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.4% |
| Corey Hall | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 6.2% |
| Sydney Bolger | 15.8% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Mary Hall | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Amy Hawkins | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 14.0% | 49.6% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Kayla McComb | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Irene Jacqz | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 11.2% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.