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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.45+7.72vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.04+8.59vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.71+4.77vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.85+7.37vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.51-0.15vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.22+3.69vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.27+2.52vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.50+0.76vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-0.69vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.92-3.29vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.00vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.71+0.37vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.87-1.96vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-1.57vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.90-3.95vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.74-8.58vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida3.29-8.56vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University1.51-2.79vs Predicted
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20Columbia University2.43-7.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.72Brown University3.450.0%1st Place
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10.59University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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7.77Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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11.37Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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4.85Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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9.69College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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9.52Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.76Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.31St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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6.71University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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11.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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12.37Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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11.04Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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12.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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11.05Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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7.42U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.44University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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16.21Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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12.75Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% |
| Sydney Bolger | 15.2% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Corey Hall | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Kayla McComb | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Amy Hawkins | 8.5% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 6.8% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.8% |
| Katherine Gullick | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 7.5% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.3% |
| Mary Hall | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 45.7% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.