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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.51+3.72vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.92+4.85vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.74+4.64vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.45+4.84vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.27+4.78vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.22+3.66vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.71+0.73vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.51+8.21vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.71+2.78vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii3.04+0.43vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.29-1.53vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61+0.78vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-4.76vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.50-5.30vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.90-4.03vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-5.12vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.85-6.67vs Predicted
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19Old Dominion University2.87-7.76vs Predicted
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20Columbia University2.43-7.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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6.85University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.64U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.84Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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9.78Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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9.66College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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7.73Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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16.21Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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11.78Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.43University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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9.47University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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12.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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8.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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8.7Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.97Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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10.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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11.33Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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11.24Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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12.74Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Bolger | 17.0% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mary Hall | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Mace | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Corey Hall | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 49.8% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 5.2% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Katherine Gullick | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 9.3% |
| Kayla McComb | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 4.8% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 3.7% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.