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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+8.56vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.92+4.90vs Predicted
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3Columbia University2.43+10.14vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.04+6.54vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.51-0.08vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.29+3.45vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.74+0.59vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+0.76vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.71-1.53vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.71+1.93vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.45-2.36vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.50-4.13vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-1.81vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.51+1.30vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.22-6.38vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-6.11vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.85-6.67vs Predicted
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19Eckerd College2.90-7.98vs Predicted
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20Old Dominion University2.87-9.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.56Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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6.9University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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13.14Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.54University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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4.92Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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9.45University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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7.59U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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7.47Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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11.93Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.64Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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8.87Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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12.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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16.3Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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9.62College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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10.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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11.33Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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11.02Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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10.89Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 12.5% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 3.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Sydney Bolger | 15.2% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Mary Hall | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Kayla McComb | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Annie Schmidt | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 5.4% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Claire Dennis | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Katherine Gullick | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 13.6% | 48.5% |
| Corey Hall | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 4.5% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 3.3% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.