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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+8.52vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.92+4.89vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.51+1.77vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.45+4.75vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61+7.68vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.50+2.46vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.74+0.57vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.71-0.08vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.85+1.13vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-0.05vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.71-0.03vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.87-1.34vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-5.79vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii3.04-4.31vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida3.29-6.67vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.90-6.03vs Predicted
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18Columbia University2.43-4.98vs Predicted
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19College of Charleston3.22-9.36vs Predicted
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20Salve Regina University1.51-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.52Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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6.89University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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4.77Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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8.75Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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12.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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8.46Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.57U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.92Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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11.13Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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10.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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11.97Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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11.66Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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8.21St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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10.69University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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9.33University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.97Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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13.02Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.64College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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15.88Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Sydney Bolger | 17.2% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Katherine Gullick | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 8.6% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Mary Hall | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.4% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Annie Schmidt | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% |
| Corina Radtke | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 4.2% |
| Kayla McComb | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 2.8% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Emilie Mademann | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 3.5% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.4% |
| Corey Hall | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 43.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.