Race 1A

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Joshua Bendura 11.6% 10.8% 10.3% 10.7% 10.0% 8.6% 8.8% 8.1% 7.2% 6.2% 4.8% 2.1% 0.9%
Stefano Palamara 9.8% 10.8% 10.2% 8.6% 9.8% 9.4% 9.2% 8.6% 7.3% 6.2% 5.5% 3.5% 1.2%
Charlotte Stillman 4.4% 4.0% 4.9% 5.1% 5.3% 6.3% 6.6% 7.6% 7.8% 8.9% 12.5% 13.0% 13.4%
Ossian Kamal 7.3% 7.8% 8.4% 8.6% 10.0% 8.6% 7.8% 8.8% 9.4% 7.6% 7.0% 6.3% 2.3%
Cameron Turner 15.0% 14.6% 13.2% 12.8% 8.2% 9.3% 8.0% 5.9% 5.2% 3.2% 2.5% 1.2% 0.6%
Michael Stewart 6.0% 5.7% 5.5% 6.3% 7.1% 8.0% 7.8% 8.6% 9.4% 9.3% 8.3% 10.2% 7.8%
Luke Manternach 7.8% 9.0% 10.7% 8.2% 10.0% 9.6% 8.9% 8.6% 8.2% 6.9% 6.3% 3.8% 1.9%
Matthew Collinson 3.8% 3.8% 3.4% 5.3% 5.2% 5.9% 6.9% 8.1% 7.3% 10.9% 12.8% 12.8% 14.0%
Shay Gualdoni 4.8% 4.7% 6.5% 5.9% 7.2% 7.1% 7.5% 8.6% 9.0% 10.2% 9.9% 9.2% 9.4%
Anthony Farrar 7.1% 6.8% 7.1% 8.8% 8.9% 8.5% 8.6% 9.4% 8.7% 9.4% 7.4% 5.8% 3.6%
Gerrit Bittmann 2.1% 2.9% 3.1% 3.6% 4.1% 4.8% 5.7% 6.1% 7.2% 8.7% 10.3% 16.5% 24.8%
Patrick Cashin 3.2% 3.9% 3.6% 3.5% 3.5% 4.2% 5.9% 6.7% 9.4% 9.8% 11.3% 15.0% 20.0%
Toby Sullivan 17.0% 15.3% 13.1% 12.4% 10.7% 9.4% 8.5% 5.1% 3.8% 2.6% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.