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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.92+5.59vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.51+2.43vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.87+7.90vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.45+4.13vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.74+1.99vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.29+2.86vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+3.33vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61+3.56vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii3.04+0.87vs Predicted
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10Columbia University2.43+2.59vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.71-3.75vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.22-2.56vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.27-4.28vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.51+1.06vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.90-4.63vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.71-4.69vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.50-9.91vs Predicted
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19Cornell University2.85-8.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.59University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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4.43Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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10.9Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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8.13Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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6.99U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.86University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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11.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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9.87University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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12.59Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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7.25Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.44College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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8.72Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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15.06Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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10.37Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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11.31Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.09Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.5Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Hawkins | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Bolger | 15.5% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.2% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Mary Hall | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.4% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| Katherine Gullick | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 8.5% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 13.3% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Corey Hall | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 44.4% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 3.7% |
| Annie Schmidt | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 6.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.