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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.03+1.14vs Predicted
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2Rice University0.94+1.83vs Predicted
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3University of Texas1.01+1.19vs Predicted
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4University of Tennessee0.67+0.17vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-0.26vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University0.08-0.76vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.30-2.03vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.99-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14Tulane University2.0342.6%1st Place
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3.83Rice University0.9411.8%1st Place
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4.19University of Texas1.0110.2%1st Place
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4.17University of Tennessee0.6711.3%1st Place
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4.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.358.2%1st Place
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5.24Texas A&M University0.086.6%1st Place
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4.97Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.307.4%1st Place
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6.72Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.991.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
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Eliza Corral | 42.6% | 26.2% | 15.8% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Joe Slipper | 11.8% | 17.3% | 17.9% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 2.9% |
Matias Martin | 10.2% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 3.5% |
Jack Riley | 11.3% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 4.4% |
Robert Bloomfield | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 9.0% |
Cole Gourley | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 21.6% | 14.3% |
Nicholas Carew | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 18.9% | 16.5% | 11.0% |
Jack Meyer | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 15.0% | 54.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.