← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Eckerd College1.17+7.18vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+6.40vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68+4.18vs Predicted
-
4Northwestern University1.27+4.91vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University1.17+3.94vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University0.61+4.66vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont1.05+1.67vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University1.44+0.39vs Predicted
-
9University of Southern California1.71-1.84vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.59-0.46vs Predicted
-
11Christopher Newport University0.65+1.98vs Predicted
-
12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-4.17vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Maritime College0.50-2.05vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College1.20-5.27vs Predicted
-
15Boston University0.97-6.76vs Predicted
-
16Tufts University1.11-7.16vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-7.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.18Eckerd College1.177.5%1st Place
-
8.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.736.2%1st Place
-
7.18St. Mary's College of Maryland1.687.8%1st Place
-
8.91Northwestern University1.276.0%1st Place
-
8.94Fordham University1.174.9%1st Place
-
10.66Cornell University0.614.3%1st Place
-
8.67University of Vermont1.056.0%1st Place
-
8.39George Washington University1.446.6%1st Place
-
7.16University of Southern California1.718.1%1st Place
-
9.54Northeastern University1.594.9%1st Place
-
12.98Christopher Newport University0.651.9%1st Place
-
7.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.277.9%1st Place
-
10.95SUNY Maritime College0.503.4%1st Place
-
8.73Connecticut College1.205.7%1st Place
-
8.24Boston University0.977.1%1st Place
-
8.84Tufts University1.115.9%1st Place
-
9.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.995.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Vieira | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
| Nathan Jensen | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Jake Weinstein | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% |
| Maya Conway | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 12.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 32.9% |
| James Kopack | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 12.2% |
| Skylor Sweet | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Brayden Benesch | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Reed McAllister | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.