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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.73+2.49vs Predicted
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2Bates College2.26+2.42vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut2.60+0.84vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy2.20+0.48vs Predicted
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5Williams College0.22+3.13vs Predicted
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6Brandeis University1.25+0.35vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University3.26-5.39vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire0.21-0.80vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College1.23-3.57vs Predicted
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11Amherst College0.92-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49Bowdoin College2.730.2%1st Place
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4.42Bates College2.260.1%1st Place
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3.84University of Connecticut2.600.1%1st Place
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4.48Maine Maritime Academy2.200.1%1st Place
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8.13Williams College0.220.0%1st Place
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6.35Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
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2.61Northeastern University3.260.3%1st Place
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8.2University of New Hampshire0.210.0%1st Place
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6.43Middlebury College1.230.0%1st Place
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7.06Amherst College0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Williamson | 20.1% | 17.4% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| David Pierce | 10.7% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Jon Beery | 14.9% | 17.1% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 16.8% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| John Joseph | 9.8% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 18.1% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Revkin | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 24.0% | 35.7% |
| Jared Dunn | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 18.1% | 13.2% | 6.6% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 30.1% | 26.6% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Terry Clarke | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 21.5% | 37.2% |
| Anna Hopper | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 17.2% | 15.5% | 6.9% |
| Nick Belsito | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 21.5% | 19.7% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.