← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Charlotte Williamson 20.1% 17.4% 18.1% 14.4% 12.0% 8.8% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1%
David Pierce 10.7% 11.5% 15.3% 14.7% 14.5% 13.5% 11.6% 5.4% 2.3% 0.5%
Jon Beery 14.9% 17.1% 14.5% 14.6% 16.8% 11.1% 6.7% 3.5% 0.8% 0.0%
John Joseph 9.8% 11.8% 13.7% 14.2% 18.1% 12.5% 10.7% 6.7% 2.0% 0.5%
Joshua Revkin 1.8% 1.7% 2.1% 4.2% 3.7% 6.1% 9.1% 11.6% 24.0% 35.7%
Jared Dunn 4.7% 4.9% 6.2% 7.8% 7.4% 14.0% 17.1% 18.1% 13.2% 6.6%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 30.1% 26.6% 16.7% 14.1% 6.7% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Terry Clarke 0.9% 1.8% 2.5% 3.4% 3.6% 6.0% 10.1% 13.0% 21.5% 37.2%
Anna Hopper 4.6% 3.8% 5.4% 8.2% 9.5% 13.9% 15.0% 17.2% 15.5% 6.9%
Nick Belsito 2.4% 3.4% 5.5% 4.4% 7.7% 10.4% 12.5% 21.5% 19.7% 12.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.