Race 2A

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Joshua Bendura 11.1% 10.9% 10.8% 9.3% 10.3% 10.3% 9.5% 7.4% 7.6% 5.5% 4.0% 2.2% 0.9%
Stefano Palamara 9.6% 10.2% 8.8% 10.2% 9.2% 9.7% 9.4% 9.0% 7.0% 6.9% 5.1% 3.6% 1.4%
Ossian Kamal 8.2% 8.6% 8.8% 8.0% 8.4% 8.6% 8.4% 9.1% 9.5% 8.6% 6.9% 4.5% 2.5%
Luke Manternach 9.6% 8.6% 10.0% 9.6% 10.5% 8.8% 8.2% 8.9% 8.3% 7.4% 4.8% 3.2% 1.9%
Shay Gualdoni 5.1% 5.0% 5.7% 5.5% 6.7% 6.9% 7.5% 8.5% 8.2% 10.3% 10.8% 10.8% 9.0%
Toby Sullivan 16.9% 15.2% 13.1% 12.0% 10.5% 9.2% 7.1% 5.7% 4.8% 2.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.1%
Cameron Turner 13.0% 14.6% 11.7% 12.2% 10.1% 9.8% 8.6% 6.9% 5.3% 4.1% 2.0% 1.4% 0.2%
Michael Stewart 6.0% 5.4% 5.7% 6.6% 6.0% 7.6% 8.1% 8.0% 9.2% 9.4% 10.7% 10.1% 7.4%
Charlotte Stillman 4.3% 3.7% 5.2% 5.6% 5.4% 5.5% 6.3% 6.8% 8.8% 9.8% 10.5% 13.7% 14.3%
Matthew Collinson 3.7% 3.6% 4.7% 5.5% 6.3% 5.7% 6.7% 7.3% 7.6% 9.7% 12.2% 13.1% 13.9%
Anthony Farrar 6.8% 7.8% 7.4% 8.0% 7.8% 8.5% 9.4% 9.2% 8.1% 8.1% 8.2% 6.8% 4.0%
Patrick Cashin 2.9% 2.9% 4.9% 4.0% 4.7% 4.9% 5.9% 6.8% 7.2% 9.0% 12.2% 15.6% 18.9%
Gerrit Bittmann 2.7% 3.2% 3.1% 3.8% 4.0% 4.5% 4.9% 6.3% 8.3% 8.6% 10.8% 14.1% 25.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.