← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.85+9.84vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University4.51+2.50vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College3.71+4.35vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island3.92+2.29vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida3.29+3.77vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University3.27+2.90vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College2.90+3.45vs Predicted
-
8Brown University3.45+0.09vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University2.71+2.23vs Predicted
-
10Yale University3.50-1.75vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy3.74-3.82vs Predicted
-
12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-1.36vs Predicted
-
13University of Hawaii3.04-3.27vs Predicted
-
14Columbia University2.43-1.97vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University1.51+0.24vs Predicted
-
17Old Dominion University2.87-6.28vs Predicted
-
18College of Charleston3.22-8.72vs Predicted
-
19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-7.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.84Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
-
4.5Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
-
7.35Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
-
6.29University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
-
8.77University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
-
8.9Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
-
10.45Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
-
8.09Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
-
11.23Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
-
8.25Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
-
7.18U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
-
10.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
-
9.73University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
-
12.03Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
-
15.24Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
-
10.72Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
-
9.28College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
-
11.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% |
| Sydney Bolger | 13.7% | 17.1% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Amy Hawkins | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 3.1% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.5% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Mary Hall | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 4.9% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 11.0% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 47.6% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 5.2% |
| Corey Hall | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Katherine Gullick | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.