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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.04+9.04vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+7.13vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.51+1.54vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.71+7.12vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.22+4.06vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.29+2.91vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.85+3.68vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+2.22vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.74-2.00vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.45-1.52vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61+0.77vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.50-3.71vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.51+2.07vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.87-3.60vs Predicted
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15Columbia University2.43-2.72vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.92-9.59vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.90-7.39vs Predicted
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19Connecticut College3.71-12.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.04University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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9.13Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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4.54Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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11.12Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.06College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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8.91University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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10.68Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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10.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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7.0U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.48Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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11.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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8.29Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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15.07Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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10.4Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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12.28Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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6.41University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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10.61Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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6.98Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Sydney Bolger | 17.0% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 6.8% |
| Corey Hall | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 4.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| Mary Hall | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Katherine Gullick | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 8.3% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 45.9% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 11.8% |
| Amy Hawkins | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 4.2% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.