Race 3A

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ossian Kamal 8.2% 7.8% 8.4% 8.8% 7.9% 8.2% 8.0% 8.6% 8.3% 9.8% 6.6% 5.8% 3.7%
Joshua Bendura 10.8% 10.9% 10.2% 9.6% 9.7% 10.3% 9.8% 8.0% 8.1% 5.0% 3.6% 2.7% 1.2%
Stefano Palamara 10.8% 9.8% 10.1% 9.5% 10.5% 10.7% 7.9% 7.4% 7.5% 6.4% 5.2% 2.9% 1.2%
Shay Gualdoni 5.9% 6.2% 5.1% 6.3% 6.5% 6.9% 8.0% 8.2% 8.5% 9.2% 10.2% 9.8% 9.2%
Toby Sullivan 16.6% 15.8% 15.1% 12.3% 10.2% 8.9% 6.3% 5.4% 4.5% 2.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Luke Manternach 8.8% 9.1% 8.8% 10.3% 9.6% 8.9% 8.9% 9.0% 8.5% 7.0% 5.2% 3.5% 2.4%
Cameron Turner 14.0% 14.7% 12.7% 11.4% 10.5% 9.5% 7.9% 6.3% 5.0% 4.2% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
Gerrit Bittmann 2.6% 2.5% 3.5% 3.8% 4.5% 4.9% 6.2% 5.2% 6.1% 9.6% 11.2% 15.7% 24.2%
Matthew Collinson 3.5% 4.2% 4.5% 4.7% 5.7% 6.6% 7.0% 7.8% 7.8% 8.7% 11.2% 14.0% 14.4%
Charlotte Stillman 3.6% 4.0% 5.4% 5.5% 5.3% 5.0% 6.6% 8.7% 7.8% 9.5% 11.8% 12.9% 13.9%
Michael Stewart 4.3% 5.2% 5.1% 6.3% 6.2% 6.8% 8.3% 9.3% 9.8% 9.3% 10.4% 11.1% 7.8%
Anthony Farrar 7.4% 6.3% 7.3% 7.5% 8.9% 8.1% 8.5% 8.5% 8.8% 9.4% 9.0% 6.2% 4.1%
Patrick Cashin 3.5% 3.2% 3.8% 4.0% 4.7% 5.2% 6.6% 7.5% 9.3% 9.3% 11.3% 14.1% 17.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.