Race 4A

luce

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Stefano Palamara 9.7% 9.8% 9.5% 9.7% 9.2% 9.3% 10.0% 9.5% 8.5% 5.7% 4.5% 3.6% 1.1%
Luke Manternach 8.8% 9.0% 9.7% 10.0% 9.2% 8.8% 9.3% 8.6% 7.2% 8.2% 5.7% 3.6% 1.8%
Cameron Turner 16.0% 13.9% 12.3% 11.9% 11.1% 8.8% 7.2% 7.0% 5.1% 3.2% 1.8% 0.9% 0.7%
Toby Sullivan 16.8% 14.9% 13.8% 12.3% 11.2% 8.2% 7.0% 5.8% 4.7% 2.4% 1.8% 0.8% 0.4%
Ossian Kamal 8.1% 8.8% 8.6% 7.8% 8.8% 9.6% 8.9% 7.6% 9.6% 7.9% 7.2% 4.3% 2.8%
Shay Gualdoni 4.8% 4.9% 5.7% 6.5% 6.2% 7.0% 6.9% 9.4% 8.6% 10.4% 11.1% 10.1% 8.5%
Joshua Bendura 9.7% 11.2% 10.2% 11.2% 11.5% 11.2% 7.8% 7.3% 6.9% 5.9% 4.0% 2.5% 0.5%
Anthony Farrar 6.8% 6.4% 7.8% 7.6% 7.8% 8.3% 10.3% 8.6% 10.2% 8.2% 8.0% 7.0% 2.9%
Patrick Cashin 3.4% 3.6% 3.7% 4.0% 5.9% 4.7% 5.7% 6.5% 7.2% 9.6% 12.1% 14.6% 19.0%
Michael Stewart 5.7% 6.0% 5.9% 6.3% 6.3% 7.0% 7.5% 8.3% 9.1% 10.6% 10.7% 9.2% 7.3%
Charlotte Stillman 3.5% 4.3% 4.7% 4.8% 4.5% 6.3% 6.4% 7.0% 9.3% 9.8% 11.3% 13.6% 14.4%
Gerrit Bittmann 2.8% 2.9% 2.9% 3.4% 3.6% 4.7% 5.5% 7.8% 6.0% 7.8% 10.8% 17.0% 24.9%
Matthew Collinson 4.0% 4.0% 5.3% 4.3% 4.7% 6.2% 7.3% 6.6% 7.5% 10.4% 11.1% 12.6% 15.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.