← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University4.51+3.61vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.27+7.11vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii3.04+7.11vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.45+4.08vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston3.22+4.09vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University2.87+4.64vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College3.71+0.13vs Predicted
-
8Yale University3.50-0.04vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy3.74-2.06vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University2.71+1.48vs Predicted
-
12Cornell University2.85-1.25vs Predicted
-
13Eckerd College2.90-2.14vs Predicted
-
14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-3.84vs Predicted
-
15University of South Florida3.29-6.53vs Predicted
-
16Columbia University2.43-3.68vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-5.40vs Predicted
-
18University of Rhode Island3.92-11.47vs Predicted
-
19Salve Regina University1.51-3.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.61Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
-
9.11Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
-
10.11University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
-
8.08Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
-
9.09College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
-
10.64Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
-
7.13Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
-
7.96Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
-
6.94U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
-
11.48Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
-
10.75Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
-
10.86Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
-
10.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
-
8.47University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
-
12.32Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
-
11.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
-
6.53University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
-
15.16Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Bolger | 16.5% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Corey Hall | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Mary Hall | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 6.8% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.9% |
| Emilie Mademann | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 4.2% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 11.4% |
| Katherine Gullick | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 7.5% |
| Amy Hawkins | 11.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 13.3% | 45.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.