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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.51+3.61vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.92+4.50vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.22+6.34vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.74+3.03vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.29+3.81vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii3.04+3.96vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+3.27vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61+3.56vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.90+0.41vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.85-0.06vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.87-1.27vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.50-4.70vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.45-5.95vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.27-6.44vs Predicted
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16Columbia University2.43-3.73vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.51-1.70vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.71-10.76vs Predicted
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19Roger Williams University2.71-7.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.61Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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6.5University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.34College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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7.03U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.81University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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9.96University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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10.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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11.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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10.41Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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10.94Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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10.73Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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8.3Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.05Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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8.56Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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12.27Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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15.3Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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7.24Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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11.11Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Bolger | 16.4% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Corey Hall | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% |
| Mary Hall | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
| Katherine Gullick | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 7.8% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 5.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 11.5% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 14.4% | 45.9% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.