Race 5A

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ossian Kamal 7.8% 7.6% 8.3% 9.2% 9.1% 9.2% 9.3% 8.0% 9.4% 7.8% 6.5% 4.5% 3.1%
Joshua Bendura 11.2% 11.2% 10.7% 11.0% 10.2% 9.0% 9.0% 8.6% 7.5% 5.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.9%
Michael Stewart 5.8% 4.7% 5.8% 5.9% 7.3% 7.3% 8.0% 9.6% 10.2% 9.3% 10.0% 9.2% 7.0%
Toby Sullivan 15.9% 15.4% 12.6% 13.5% 10.8% 8.8% 8.1% 5.8% 4.0% 2.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Anthony Farrar 6.6% 6.7% 8.3% 7.8% 7.6% 8.9% 8.4% 8.8% 9.2% 10.0% 7.6% 6.8% 3.3%
Luke Manternach 8.2% 8.6% 10.2% 9.0% 10.5% 8.2% 10.8% 9.2% 7.6% 7.2% 5.5% 3.5% 1.5%
Stefano Palamara 10.2% 11.1% 10.0% 9.4% 8.8% 9.8% 8.5% 9.6% 7.5% 5.9% 5.1% 3.2% 1.1%
Cameron Turner 14.9% 13.8% 13.6% 10.9% 11.5% 9.3% 8.2% 7.7% 4.2% 3.5% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Julia Hudson 3.3% 3.4% 3.1% 3.8% 3.8% 4.8% 4.2% 4.5% 7.7% 8.7% 11.8% 15.4% 25.6%
Gerrit Bittmann 2.7% 3.3% 3.5% 3.9% 3.8% 5.0% 5.8% 5.9% 6.6% 8.5% 12.8% 16.2% 22.2%
Patrick Cashin 3.2% 3.5% 4.0% 4.2% 4.7% 6.0% 5.4% 6.8% 8.9% 9.0% 11.5% 15.2% 17.6%
Shay Gualdoni 5.3% 6.1% 5.8% 5.7% 5.9% 7.9% 8.0% 8.5% 8.3% 11.4% 10.2% 10.1% 7.0%
Matthew Collinson 4.9% 4.8% 4.3% 5.7% 5.9% 5.9% 6.3% 7.1% 8.8% 10.7% 11.8% 13.2% 10.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.