Race 6A

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Joshua Bendura 12.1% 11.0% 11.2% 11.2% 10.4% 8.9% 9.3% 8.1% 6.8% 5.4% 2.6% 2.3% 0.7%
Toby Sullivan 15.6% 16.8% 15.0% 13.3% 11.9% 8.2% 6.5% 5.0% 3.0% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Cameron Turner 13.1% 14.6% 13.5% 12.1% 10.3% 9.8% 9.0% 6.1% 5.3% 3.5% 1.2% 1.0% 0.3%
Anthony Farrar 6.5% 7.3% 7.9% 7.3% 8.2% 10.2% 9.0% 9.1% 9.6% 8.5% 7.6% 5.8% 3.0%
Ossian Kamal 9.7% 7.8% 7.9% 8.5% 9.1% 8.0% 9.0% 8.8% 9.9% 7.2% 7.0% 4.0% 3.1%
Luke Manternach 9.0% 9.6% 10.1% 8.3% 9.2% 9.2% 8.0% 8.9% 9.0% 7.2% 5.7% 3.8% 1.8%
Michael Stewart 6.2% 5.7% 5.3% 5.9% 6.8% 7.4% 8.3% 7.8% 10.1% 9.7% 10.4% 9.1% 7.4%
Gerrit Bittmann 2.9% 3.4% 2.9% 3.8% 3.6% 4.7% 6.0% 6.3% 7.4% 9.4% 11.7% 15.7% 22.2%
Stefano Palamara 10.0% 9.4% 9.4% 10.5% 9.8% 9.5% 9.0% 9.5% 7.3% 6.9% 5.1% 2.4% 1.1%
Shay Gualdoni 4.7% 4.9% 6.0% 6.5% 7.1% 7.8% 7.3% 9.3% 8.8% 9.7% 10.7% 9.8% 7.3%
Matthew Collinson 3.9% 4.1% 4.2% 5.1% 5.1% 6.5% 7.0% 7.8% 8.3% 10.4% 13.4% 13.3% 10.9%
Julia Hudson 2.8% 2.1% 3.1% 3.2% 3.3% 4.7% 6.5% 5.2% 7.0% 9.6% 11.9% 16.5% 24.1%
Patrick Cashin 3.6% 3.5% 3.3% 4.2% 5.2% 5.1% 5.0% 8.0% 7.4% 10.1% 11.2% 15.7% 17.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.