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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+9.53vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.51+2.50vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.50+5.27vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.22+5.00vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.90+5.34vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.27+2.94vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.71+0.14vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.45+0.19vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.92-2.71vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.74-2.69vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61+0.77vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.85-0.97vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.29-4.26vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.71-3.06vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.87-4.45vs Predicted
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16Columbia University2.43-3.59vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.51-1.66vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii3.04-8.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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4.5Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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8.27Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.0College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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10.34Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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8.94Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.14Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.19Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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6.29University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.31U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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11.03Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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8.74University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.94Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.55Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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12.41Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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15.34Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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9.71University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.4% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 4.1% |
| Sydney Bolger | 14.5% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Corey Hall | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mary Hall | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Gullick | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 8.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 5.1% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 3.1% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 12.6% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 47.8% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.