Race 7A

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Cameron Turner 15.0% 13.2% 13.6% 12.7% 10.9% 9.4% 7.7% 6.8% 4.5% 3.2% 1.8% 0.9% 0.2%
Joshua Bendura 11.8% 9.4% 11.8% 11.0% 10.2% 10.0% 10.0% 7.0% 6.6% 6.2% 3.6% 2.2% 0.4%
Stefano Palamara 10.2% 10.5% 9.5% 9.0% 8.8% 10.1% 10.1% 9.3% 7.6% 6.4% 4.3% 3.1% 1.0%
Ossian Kamal 7.8% 7.6% 8.6% 9.4% 8.2% 9.7% 8.4% 8.4% 8.1% 7.8% 7.6% 5.9% 2.4%
Toby Sullivan 18.5% 17.2% 12.0% 12.4% 10.3% 8.4% 7.6% 5.2% 3.2% 2.7% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Matthew Collinson 3.2% 4.0% 4.4% 4.8% 6.1% 6.5% 6.2% 8.1% 8.8% 9.7% 13.4% 12.2% 12.5%
Anthony Farrar 6.4% 7.1% 7.5% 7.8% 8.2% 8.5% 8.6% 9.6% 10.1% 9.4% 7.2% 6.0% 3.6%
Luke Manternach 8.0% 9.2% 9.1% 9.8% 9.8% 9.4% 9.5% 9.6% 8.5% 7.0% 4.0% 4.6% 1.5%
Michael Stewart 5.3% 5.7% 6.2% 6.5% 7.5% 7.4% 7.9% 8.7% 9.4% 10.3% 8.9% 9.3% 6.8%
Shay Gualdoni 5.4% 5.6% 6.0% 5.5% 6.8% 7.0% 7.2% 9.0% 10.0% 10.0% 11.3% 9.4% 6.7%
Gerrit Bittmann 3.1% 3.4% 3.5% 4.0% 4.2% 4.8% 5.5% 5.2% 7.5% 8.1% 12.2% 16.8% 21.9%
Patrick Cashin 3.1% 4.1% 4.5% 4.4% 5.1% 5.2% 6.2% 7.5% 8.1% 9.2% 12.6% 13.2% 16.9%
Julia Hudson 2.1% 2.8% 3.4% 2.5% 4.0% 3.7% 5.0% 5.6% 7.6% 10.0% 11.5% 15.8% 26.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.