Race 8A

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Toby Sullivan 17.2% 15.6% 15.6% 11.2% 10.1% 9.2% 6.8% 5.1% 4.2% 2.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Joshua Bendura 11.9% 11.5% 10.1% 11.3% 10.1% 9.4% 9.8% 8.2% 6.7% 4.4% 4.2% 1.8% 0.7%
Cameron Turner 14.8% 14.3% 13.7% 11.4% 10.3% 9.6% 8.2% 5.5% 4.9% 4.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4%
Luke Manternach 8.3% 8.2% 9.1% 9.2% 9.0% 10.0% 9.1% 9.9% 8.5% 6.8% 6.2% 4.0% 1.8%
Ossian Kamal 6.8% 7.6% 8.7% 9.2% 10.2% 9.3% 8.6% 9.7% 8.6% 7.5% 7.0% 4.5% 2.2%
Michael Stewart 4.9% 5.5% 6.2% 7.2% 7.4% 6.8% 8.3% 8.1% 8.6% 10.8% 10.1% 9.4% 6.5%
Stefano Palamara 9.4% 10.4% 9.0% 10.4% 9.8% 9.8% 9.4% 7.8% 8.8% 6.0% 4.9% 3.1% 1.1%
Shay Gualdoni 5.7% 4.8% 6.0% 5.9% 6.2% 6.2% 8.3% 8.6% 9.4% 9.8% 10.6% 10.4% 8.2%
Gerrit Bittmann 2.5% 2.6% 3.2% 4.0% 4.5% 4.6% 5.1% 6.5% 7.6% 9.4% 11.3% 16.2% 22.4%
Patrick Cashin 3.8% 3.5% 3.1% 4.5% 4.2% 6.7% 6.0% 7.5% 7.5% 10.7% 11.7% 15.4% 15.2%
Anthony Farrar 8.2% 7.1% 7.8% 7.5% 8.2% 8.8% 8.9% 8.9% 8.8% 8.0% 9.0% 6.2% 2.4%
Matthew Collinson 3.8% 5.2% 4.0% 4.0% 6.3% 5.7% 5.8% 7.4% 9.2% 11.0% 10.8% 12.8% 13.7%
Julia Hudson 2.6% 3.6% 3.4% 4.2% 3.8% 3.9% 5.5% 6.9% 7.1% 8.6% 10.6% 14.4% 25.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.