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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.50+7.20vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.22+7.37vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+7.61vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.74+2.97vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.71+2.09vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.92+0.39vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.27+1.92vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.45+0.09vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.71+2.21vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.90+0.70vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University4.51-6.49vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.29-2.83vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii3.04-3.24vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-2.71vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.85-4.37vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.87-6.37vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.51-2.66vs Predicted
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19Columbia University2.43-6.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.2Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.37College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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10.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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6.97U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.09Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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6.39University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.92Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.09Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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11.21Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.7Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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4.51Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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9.17University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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9.76University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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11.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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10.63Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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10.63Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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15.34Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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12.15Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Dennis | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Corey Hall | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.1% |
| Mary Hall | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.6% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.6% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Annie Schmidt | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 4.4% |
| Sydney Bolger | 18.5% | 15.4% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 2.4% |
| Katherine Gullick | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 4.4% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.1% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 13.9% | 48.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.