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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+9.51vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.22+7.33vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.27+6.17vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.92+2.30vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.74+1.96vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.51-1.58vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.45+1.16vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.50-0.09vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.71-1.95vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.29-0.88vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.71+0.34vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-0.02vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.85-2.53vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii3.04-4.39vs Predicted
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16Columbia University2.43-3.70vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.87-6.33vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.90-7.42vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University1.51-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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9.33College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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9.17Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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6.3University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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6.96U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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4.42Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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8.16Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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7.91Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.05Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.12University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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11.34Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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11.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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10.47Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.61University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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12.3Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.67Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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10.58Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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15.13Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% |
| Corey Hall | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Amy Hawkins | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Mary Hall | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Sydney Bolger | 17.5% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.7% |
| Katherine Gullick | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 10.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 11.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 3.9% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.