Race 9A

luce

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ossian Kamal 7.0% 7.8% 8.2% 9.2% 9.2% 9.8% 9.8% 8.3% 8.1% 8.7% 7.0% 4.3% 2.6%
Stefano Palamara 9.2% 9.8% 10.2% 10.5% 9.7% 10.1% 9.7% 7.8% 7.0% 6.7% 4.7% 3.5% 1.2%
Cameron Turner 14.9% 14.0% 12.3% 13.5% 9.8% 9.3% 8.0% 7.0% 4.7% 3.6% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2%
Toby Sullivan 17.4% 14.0% 14.5% 12.2% 10.5% 9.5% 7.4% 5.7% 4.5% 1.8% 1.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Matthew Collinson 3.6% 4.4% 4.2% 4.6% 5.8% 5.8% 6.2% 7.0% 10.0% 11.3% 12.8% 12.2% 12.1%
Julia Hudson 2.1% 2.8% 2.8% 3.7% 4.0% 4.4% 4.4% 6.7% 6.9% 9.4% 11.1% 16.7% 25.2%
Joshua Bendura 13.0% 11.5% 11.6% 10.5% 10.7% 9.1% 7.4% 8.2% 6.7% 4.9% 3.8% 2.2% 0.5%
Shay Gualdoni 5.1% 6.5% 5.9% 5.7% 6.5% 6.9% 7.6% 8.9% 9.8% 9.3% 10.1% 9.7% 8.1%
Luke Manternach 9.7% 9.1% 10.0% 9.3% 8.5% 8.8% 9.7% 10.2% 7.2% 7.2% 5.1% 3.5% 1.6%
Anthony Farrar 6.1% 7.3% 7.0% 8.6% 9.0% 9.2% 9.3% 8.3% 10.1% 8.8% 7.5% 5.6% 3.1%
Patrick Cashin 3.2% 4.0% 4.5% 4.0% 5.0% 5.8% 7.0% 6.3% 8.6% 9.0% 13.4% 15.4% 13.8%
Gerrit Bittmann 2.8% 3.3% 3.0% 3.0% 4.5% 4.6% 5.0% 6.3% 6.2% 9.7% 11.2% 15.9% 24.6%
Michael Stewart 6.0% 5.7% 5.8% 5.1% 7.0% 6.9% 8.3% 9.2% 10.4% 9.4% 9.8% 9.3% 7.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.