Race 10A

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ossian Kamal 7.8% 7.6% 8.0% 8.3% 9.8% 9.3% 8.9% 8.8% 8.6% 7.9% 7.8% 4.5% 2.6%
Toby Sullivan 17.5% 14.4% 14.4% 12.6% 10.9% 8.6% 8.2% 6.2% 4.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Joshua Bendura 11.9% 12.1% 10.7% 10.3% 11.2% 9.6% 8.6% 8.6% 6.2% 5.0% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6%
Luke Manternach 9.4% 9.1% 9.8% 10.1% 9.2% 9.2% 9.2% 7.5% 7.2% 7.2% 6.3% 4.1% 1.8%
Gerrit Bittmann 3.5% 2.9% 2.5% 2.6% 4.0% 4.4% 5.2% 6.6% 7.7% 9.1% 12.3% 16.5% 22.6%
Stefano Palamara 9.3% 10.4% 10.3% 10.5% 9.2% 10.3% 8.8% 7.6% 8.3% 6.8% 3.9% 3.4% 1.1%
Cameron Turner 14.5% 14.2% 13.7% 11.2% 11.0% 9.3% 8.8% 7.1% 5.2% 2.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Julia Hudson 2.6% 3.1% 3.3% 3.8% 3.8% 4.4% 5.0% 5.8% 8.1% 8.9% 10.9% 15.7% 24.6%
Shay Gualdoni 5.1% 5.1% 4.8% 5.8% 6.7% 7.8% 7.6% 8.2% 9.7% 11.4% 10.8% 9.6% 7.6%
Patrick Cashin 3.4% 3.6% 4.5% 4.5% 4.2% 5.0% 5.8% 7.1% 7.3% 10.1% 13.7% 14.1% 16.7%
Matthew Collinson 3.5% 3.9% 4.5% 5.1% 5.8% 5.5% 7.0% 7.9% 9.0% 9.8% 11.7% 13.7% 12.7%
Anthony Farrar 6.2% 7.6% 8.4% 8.6% 7.8% 8.9% 10.1% 9.1% 8.2% 8.1% 8.1% 5.8% 3.1%
Michael Stewart 5.2% 5.9% 5.2% 6.6% 6.6% 7.7% 6.7% 9.5% 10.2% 11.0% 8.8% 10.2% 6.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.