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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.20+7.21vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.58+9.09vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.29+5.02vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.80+6.04vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+3.98vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.09+7.37vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.33+0.99vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.02+0.89vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.07+4.24vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.97-0.73vs Predicted
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11Cornell University3.35-3.33vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.71-1.27vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-0.94vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.01-4.97vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.88-5.28vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-6.00vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.23-9.07vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.73-7.52vs Predicted
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19Columbia University1.30-2.90vs Predicted
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20Salve Regina University0.97-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.21College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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11.09Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.02Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.04University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
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8.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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13.37Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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7.99Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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8.89University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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13.24University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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9.27Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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7.67Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.73Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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12.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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9.03Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.72U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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10.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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7.93Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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10.48Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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16.1Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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17.19Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Lucas | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Emily Billing | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 6.9% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 6.7% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Lauren Turner | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 5.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 18.9% | 29.1% |
| Mary Clawson | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 17.7% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.