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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.71+9.42vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.02+7.07vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.20+5.43vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.88+5.65vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.58+6.06vs Predicted
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6Cornell University3.35+1.67vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.29+1.12vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.97+1.10vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.80+0.94vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+1.70vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.97+6.08vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-2.73vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-2.58vs Predicted
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14Columbia University1.30+2.18vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.01-5.82vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College3.33-8.33vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.23-9.07vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii2.07-4.61vs Predicted
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19Eckerd College2.73-8.67vs Predicted
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20Roger Williams University2.09-6.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.42Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.07University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.43College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.65U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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11.06Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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7.67Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.12Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.1Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.94University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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11.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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17.08Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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9.27St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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10.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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16.18Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.18Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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7.67Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.93Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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13.39University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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10.33Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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13.38Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.3% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emily Billing | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 17.9% | 43.8% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 12.0% | 19.1% | 28.6% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 7.4% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.