Race 11A

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Stefano Palamara 9.2% 10.8% 10.3% 9.8% 10.4% 10.2% 10.0% 8.1% 6.9% 5.8% 4.5% 3.1% 0.9%
Shay Gualdoni 5.0% 5.1% 4.8% 6.0% 7.1% 6.6% 8.1% 8.9% 8.5% 10.1% 10.8% 11.2% 8.2%
Toby Sullivan 16.5% 15.9% 14.1% 13.5% 10.1% 9.8% 6.3% 6.1% 3.3% 2.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Cameron Turner 14.5% 15.2% 12.9% 11.7% 10.5% 8.6% 7.1% 7.0% 5.7% 3.9% 1.7% 1.1% 0.1%
Patrick Cashin 4.0% 3.5% 4.5% 3.9% 4.8% 4.8% 6.4% 8.0% 8.0% 8.8% 10.6% 16.3% 16.8%
Joshua Bendura 11.5% 11.0% 10.2% 12.0% 9.9% 9.6% 9.4% 8.1% 5.6% 5.7% 4.3% 2.2% 0.5%
Ossian Kamal 8.0% 7.8% 7.8% 9.1% 8.8% 10.3% 9.2% 8.2% 8.3% 7.4% 8.3% 4.0% 2.7%
Matthew Collinson 3.6% 3.6% 3.8% 4.9% 5.1% 5.1% 7.4% 7.6% 9.2% 11.4% 12.8% 12.7% 13.0%
Anthony Farrar 6.9% 7.2% 8.3% 7.3% 8.1% 8.8% 8.8% 9.6% 9.7% 9.4% 6.9% 5.9% 3.0%
Michael Stewart 5.7% 5.1% 6.7% 6.2% 6.6% 7.4% 8.6% 8.0% 9.7% 10.1% 10.2% 9.0% 7.0%
Luke Manternach 9.8% 8.5% 9.7% 8.8% 9.8% 9.0% 8.2% 9.2% 8.6% 7.0% 5.8% 3.8% 1.7%
Gerrit Bittmann 3.1% 3.3% 3.2% 3.5% 4.7% 4.8% 6.0% 5.8% 8.6% 8.6% 11.5% 15.1% 21.7%
Julia Hudson 2.3% 2.9% 3.6% 3.2% 4.3% 5.1% 4.3% 5.7% 8.2% 8.8% 11.8% 15.4% 24.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.