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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.73+2.48vs Predicted
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2Bates College2.26+2.42vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy2.20+1.56vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut2.60-0.29vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University3.26-2.40vs Predicted
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6Williams College0.22+2.16vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.21+0.29vs Predicted
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9Brandeis University1.25-2.66vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College1.23-3.60vs Predicted
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11Amherst College0.92-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48Bowdoin College2.730.2%1st Place
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4.42Bates College2.260.1%1st Place
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4.56Maine Maritime Academy2.200.1%1st Place
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3.71University of Connecticut2.600.2%1st Place
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2.6Northeastern University3.260.3%1st Place
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8.16Williams College0.220.0%1st Place
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8.29University of New Hampshire0.210.0%1st Place
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6.34Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
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6.4Middlebury College1.230.0%1st Place
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7.05Amherst College0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Williamson | 19.5% | 18.3% | 16.3% | 16.3% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| David Pierce | 10.5% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| John Joseph | 9.8% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Jon Beery | 15.1% | 16.6% | 19.1% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 31.7% | 25.6% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Revkin | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 23.5% | 36.2% |
| Terry Clarke | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 13.9% | 25.3% | 35.4% |
| Jared Dunn | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 19.1% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 6.5% |
| Anna Hopper | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 18.3% | 13.9% | 6.7% |
| Nick Belsito | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 21.7% | 17.1% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.