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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.35+6.55vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.01+7.07vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.02+6.28vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.97+5.29vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+6.61vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+3.07vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.20+1.57vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.71+2.23vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.80+0.97vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.29-2.13vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.33-3.24vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.88-2.06vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii2.07+0.67vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.58-2.90vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.73-4.61vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.23-7.92vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.09-3.86vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-7.88vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University0.97-1.98vs Predicted
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20Columbia University1.30-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.55Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.07Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.28University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.29Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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11.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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9.07St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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8.57College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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10.23Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.97University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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7.87Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.76Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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9.94U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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13.67University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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11.1Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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10.39Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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8.08Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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13.14Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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10.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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17.02Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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16.27Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Turner | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Emily Billing | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 8.4% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Solvig Sayre | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 6.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Mary Clawson | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 17.6% | 42.2% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 19.2% | 29.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.