Race 12A

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Joshua Bendura 14.2% 13.2% 12.8% 10.4% 11.1% 10.2% 8.4% 6.9% 5.9% 4.0% 1.9% 1.0%
Cameron Turner 17.2% 16.6% 14.1% 11.6% 10.4% 8.9% 7.1% 5.7% 4.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
Ossian Kamal 10.2% 8.6% 10.1% 10.1% 9.2% 10.9% 8.9% 9.4% 8.2% 7.0% 4.7% 2.8%
Stefano Palamara 12.0% 11.5% 12.6% 11.2% 11.6% 9.8% 9.2% 7.9% 6.4% 4.5% 2.4% 1.1%
Luke Manternach 11.1% 11.8% 11.6% 10.1% 9.6% 11.0% 9.4% 7.3% 8.0% 5.1% 3.5% 1.6%
Patrick Cashin 3.4% 4.0% 5.1% 5.7% 6.2% 6.1% 8.6% 7.7% 9.2% 12.1% 16.2% 15.8%
Gerrit Bittmann 3.6% 3.5% 3.7% 4.3% 4.3% 5.8% 5.5% 8.2% 10.2% 12.0% 16.0% 22.9%
Anthony Farrar 8.1% 9.4% 8.2% 9.6% 9.9% 8.6% 9.8% 12.0% 7.8% 7.8% 5.4% 3.3%
Matthew Collinson 4.9% 5.2% 5.5% 6.6% 6.6% 7.5% 7.1% 8.5% 10.5% 13.5% 12.0% 12.1%
Michael Stewart 6.6% 6.2% 6.8% 8.6% 8.2% 7.8% 10.1% 8.9% 9.2% 11.6% 9.1% 7.0%
Julia Hudson 3.6% 3.4% 3.1% 4.3% 5.0% 5.8% 6.5% 7.7% 9.8% 10.8% 16.2% 23.8%
Shay Gualdoni 5.1% 6.6% 6.6% 7.4% 8.0% 7.6% 9.3% 9.8% 10.3% 9.2% 11.7% 8.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.