Race 1B

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Valerio Palamara 16.5% 15.2% 14.0% 12.1% 11.5% 9.7% 7.8% 5.1% 4.0% 2.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Patrick Tis 5.2% 5.1% 7.0% 6.1% 6.3% 6.4% 7.3% 8.8% 9.7% 11.2% 13.0% 11.2% 2.8%
Aston Atherton 11.8% 11.9% 10.0% 10.1% 10.2% 10.9% 9.4% 8.2% 7.0% 5.7% 3.6% 1.1% 0.1%
Alexa Whitman 8.6% 7.8% 8.9% 9.2% 8.6% 9.0% 10.2% 9.7% 9.4% 7.7% 6.5% 4.0% 0.4%
Aidan Young 15.0% 12.2% 12.2% 11.7% 12.2% 9.3% 8.1% 7.1% 5.8% 3.1% 1.9% 1.1% 0.1%
Eric Johnson 4.8% 4.2% 5.1% 5.1% 6.0% 6.3% 7.2% 9.6% 10.1% 11.2% 13.9% 13.5% 3.2%
Jasper Waldman 8.0% 8.8% 9.7% 9.2% 8.8% 10.7% 10.0% 9.7% 8.6% 8.1% 5.1% 2.7% 0.6%
Bryce Nill 3.8% 4.8% 4.0% 5.1% 5.9% 6.2% 8.8% 9.4% 9.9% 12.5% 14.1% 12.4% 3.1%
Aidan Gurskis 7.4% 8.4% 9.2% 9.4% 8.9% 8.9% 9.2% 8.9% 9.4% 9.1% 7.3% 3.4% 0.3%
Alan Becker 11.4% 11.3% 10.2% 12.0% 11.2% 10.2% 8.9% 7.9% 6.5% 5.0% 3.3% 1.7% 0.3%
Rose von Eckartsberg 2.9% 3.2% 2.9% 2.8% 3.2% 4.6% 4.3% 6.7% 7.6% 10.2% 14.8% 28.1% 8.5%
Kayla Maguire 4.2% 6.5% 6.3% 6.5% 6.2% 7.4% 7.5% 7.7% 10.2% 11.6% 11.9% 12.0% 1.9%
Abigail Eck 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.3% 1.1% 1.2% 1.6% 2.5% 3.7% 8.2% 78.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.