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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.97+8.26vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.80+8.06vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.58+8.25vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.71+6.47vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+4.98vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.02+3.17vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.29+1.11vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.51vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+2.60vs Predicted
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10Cornell University3.35-2.38vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.33-3.25vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.01-2.65vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-3.64vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.20-5.76vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.73-4.55vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii2.07-2.66vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.23-9.11vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.09-4.70vs Predicted
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19Columbia University1.30-2.87vs Predicted
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20Salve Regina University0.97-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.26Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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10.06University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
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11.25Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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10.47Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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9.17University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.11Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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11.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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7.62Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.75Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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9.35Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.36St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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8.24College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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10.45Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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13.34University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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7.89Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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13.3Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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16.13Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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17.18Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Luna | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Emily Billing | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Brooke Lyon | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 7.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 7.9% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 20.3% | 28.7% |
| Mary Clawson | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 10.2% | 17.2% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.