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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.02+8.01vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.97+7.30vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+7.12vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.20+4.28vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.80+5.00vs Predicted
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6Cornell University3.35+1.67vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.29+1.15vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.71+2.23vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.73+1.26vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.30vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.33-3.22vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.01-2.66vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.58-1.48vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii2.07-0.66vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.23-6.88vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-4.33vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.09-3.86vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-8.88vs Predicted
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19Columbia University1.30-2.91vs Predicted
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20Salve Regina University0.97-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.01University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.3Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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10.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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8.28College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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10.0University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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7.67Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.15Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.23Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.26Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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9.7U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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7.78Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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9.34Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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11.52Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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13.34University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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8.12Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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11.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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13.14Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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9.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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16.09Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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17.16Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanel Miller | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Andrea Luna | 7.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Turner | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Emily Billing | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 2.4% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 6.9% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 10.9% | 19.8% | 28.5% |
| Mary Clawson | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 18.6% | 43.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.