Race 2B

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Valerio Palamara 18.1% 15.6% 14.4% 11.5% 9.9% 9.2% 7.6% 5.2% 4.0% 2.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Aston Atherton 12.2% 10.5% 11.0% 11.4% 10.8% 10.5% 8.5% 8.1% 6.7% 5.1% 3.6% 1.4% 0.1%
Patrick Tis 5.1% 5.3% 5.6% 5.5% 6.6% 6.9% 8.2% 8.9% 9.8% 12.8% 11.3% 12.0% 1.8%
Alexa Whitman 7.5% 8.4% 8.9% 9.2% 9.8% 9.6% 9.2% 9.8% 9.6% 8.9% 5.5% 3.0% 0.4%
Aidan Young 12.8% 14.1% 14.1% 11.9% 11.6% 9.7% 8.4% 6.6% 5.1% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Alan Becker 12.4% 11.6% 9.6% 10.5% 10.7% 10.2% 9.8% 8.2% 6.6% 5.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.4%
Aidan Gurskis 7.7% 8.6% 8.9% 8.1% 8.3% 10.5% 10.2% 8.7% 9.9% 7.4% 6.2% 4.8% 0.5%
Rose von Eckartsberg 2.9% 3.2% 3.0% 2.9% 3.9% 5.0% 5.5% 6.3% 7.8% 10.2% 15.2% 26.2% 8.1%
Bryce Nill 4.2% 4.7% 4.5% 5.9% 6.2% 5.8% 7.9% 8.0% 8.9% 11.2% 15.3% 14.3% 3.1%
Kayla Maguire 4.5% 4.2% 5.1% 6.5% 6.4% 7.1% 8.1% 10.0% 10.3% 11.6% 12.8% 10.7% 2.7%
Eric Johnson 3.9% 4.5% 4.9% 6.2% 5.8% 6.2% 6.3% 9.2% 11.1% 12.0% 13.5% 13.9% 2.7%
Abigail Eck 0.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 1.7% 2.1% 4.2% 8.6% 79.5%
Jasper Waldman 8.5% 8.7% 9.8% 10.1% 9.6% 8.8% 9.4% 10.2% 8.5% 7.3% 6.1% 2.5% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.