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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.60+4.12vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.27+4.01vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.47+1.27vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University0.19+2.16vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College0.59+0.25vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.73-1.25vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.36+1.09vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64-0.36vs Predicted
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9Penn State Behrend-0.45-0.96vs Predicted
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10Drexel University0.23-3.70vs Predicted
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11Washington College-0.28-3.25vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-2.68vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-2.85-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12Christopher Newport University0.6013.0%1st Place
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6.01Princeton University0.278.3%1st Place
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4.27Hampton University1.4717.6%1st Place
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6.16Syracuse University0.198.6%1st Place
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5.25Hamilton College0.5912.2%1st Place
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4.75Virginia Tech0.7313.3%1st Place
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8.09William and Mary-0.363.4%1st Place
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7.64Rochester Institute of Technology-0.645.2%1st Place
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8.04Penn State Behrend-0.454.0%1st Place
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6.3Drexel University0.237.2%1st Place
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7.75Washington College-0.284.2%1st Place
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9.32SUNY Stony Brook-0.602.7%1st Place
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12.28Monmouth University-2.850.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Atherton | 13.0% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jasper Waldman | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Valerio Palamara | 17.6% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 0.2% |
| Alan Becker | 12.2% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Young | 13.3% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Eric Johnson | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 3.4% |
| Kayla Maguire | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 2.4% |
| Bryce Nill | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 3.2% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Tis | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 1.8% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 27.5% | 7.5% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 7.6% | 80.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.