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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.23+7.03vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.33+5.66vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.29+5.06vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.07+9.35vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.01+4.07vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+4.07vs Predicted
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7Cornell University3.35+0.86vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.02+0.92vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.60vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+1.73vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-1.88vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.20-3.56vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.09+0.55vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.73-3.63vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.80-4.93vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.58-4.96vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.97-7.85vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University0.97-0.84vs Predicted
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19Georgetown University2.71-8.55vs Predicted
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20Columbia University1.30-3.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.03Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.66Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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8.06Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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13.35University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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9.07Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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7.86Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.92University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.6U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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11.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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9.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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8.44College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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13.55Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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10.37Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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10.07University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
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11.04Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.15Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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17.16Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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10.45Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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16.31Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McKinney | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emily Billing | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 7.2% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 8.2% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Andrea Luna | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 18.1% | 42.4% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 20.0% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.