Race 4B

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Aston Atherton 12.7% 11.2% 10.7% 10.5% 10.8% 10.8% 9.4% 7.8% 6.7% 4.8% 3.4% 1.2% 0.1%
Valerio Palamara 14.5% 15.9% 12.3% 14.4% 10.7% 9.2% 7.5% 6.7% 4.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Jasper Waldman 9.2% 9.0% 9.3% 9.8% 10.1% 9.7% 8.6% 8.4% 8.4% 8.1% 6.1% 2.9% 0.4%
Aidan Young 14.6% 13.3% 11.8% 10.5% 11.1% 9.4% 8.2% 7.2% 6.2% 4.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
Aidan Gurskis 7.8% 8.6% 9.0% 9.2% 10.1% 8.3% 9.5% 8.2% 8.8% 9.2% 7.2% 3.6% 0.5%
Eric Johnson 4.1% 4.5% 4.8% 5.6% 5.2% 7.0% 6.9% 8.4% 9.3% 12.3% 13.9% 14.5% 3.5%
Alan Becker 11.2% 10.7% 12.3% 10.4% 9.6% 9.6% 9.7% 7.6% 7.1% 5.9% 3.6% 1.9% 0.4%
Kayla Maguire 5.2% 5.1% 5.7% 5.6% 6.4% 7.0% 8.6% 9.1% 9.9% 10.3% 12.3% 12.4% 2.2%
Patrick Tis 4.6% 4.3% 5.8% 6.0% 6.7% 7.5% 8.3% 9.8% 9.3% 10.3% 13.3% 11.8% 2.2%
Alexa Whitman 8.5% 8.9% 10.2% 8.5% 9.2% 9.2% 9.8% 8.9% 8.3% 8.9% 5.8% 3.4% 0.6%
Bryce Nill 4.9% 4.7% 4.8% 5.1% 6.0% 7.2% 7.8% 9.3% 10.9% 9.9% 13.2% 13.8% 2.4%
Rose von Eckartsberg 2.4% 3.4% 3.1% 3.6% 3.4% 4.5% 4.8% 6.9% 8.6% 10.3% 14.8% 26.9% 7.3%
Abigail Eck 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.7% 1.8% 1.8% 2.8% 3.4% 6.5% 80.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.