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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.35+6.58vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.01+7.03vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+6.86vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.20+4.25vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+6.55vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.71+4.58vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.58+4.35vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.97+1.07vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.02+0.02vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.73+0.43vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.29-3.08vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-2.76vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.33-4.94vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.23-5.96vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-4.99vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii2.07-2.73vs Predicted
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17Columbia University1.30-0.87vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.09-4.66vs Predicted
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19University of South Florida2.80-8.96vs Predicted
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20Salve Regina University0.97-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.58Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.03Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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8.25College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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11.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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10.58Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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11.35Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.07Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.02University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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10.43Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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7.92Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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8.06Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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8.04Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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10.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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13.27University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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16.13Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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13.34Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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10.04University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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17.21Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Turner | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Grace Lucas | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Emily Billing | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Molly McKinney | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 6.9% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 20.1% | 27.5% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 8.4% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 16.7% | 44.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.