Race 5B

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Valerio Palamara 16.2% 15.7% 13.6% 12.6% 11.1% 8.8% 7.7% 5.1% 4.5% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Aidan Young 13.2% 13.6% 13.0% 11.1% 10.7% 9.4% 7.9% 7.4% 7.0% 3.7% 1.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Alan Becker 11.8% 10.3% 11.8% 10.9% 9.4% 10.0% 9.5% 9.3% 6.7% 4.8% 3.7% 1.7% 0.1%
Alexa Whitman 9.3% 8.5% 8.6% 8.8% 9.6% 8.7% 9.6% 8.1% 9.6% 8.5% 6.8% 3.5% 0.6%
Aston Atherton 10.9% 10.9% 10.7% 11.2% 11.6% 10.8% 10.0% 7.8% 6.6% 5.2% 3.1% 1.1% 0.1%
Kayla Maguire 5.5% 5.3% 6.2% 5.4% 5.9% 7.0% 7.6% 8.7% 9.3% 12.1% 12.8% 11.3% 2.9%
Bryce Nill 3.9% 4.5% 6.0% 5.1% 5.7% 6.9% 8.1% 8.6% 9.6% 12.3% 13.0% 13.0% 3.4%
Aidan Gurskis 8.8% 10.1% 7.5% 10.5% 9.2% 10.3% 8.4% 8.4% 8.7% 7.8% 6.8% 2.9% 0.7%
Patrick Tis 4.9% 4.8% 5.6% 6.7% 6.7% 7.2% 8.0% 9.1% 9.6% 11.5% 11.7% 12.7% 1.7%
Jasper Waldman 8.0% 9.2% 8.9% 8.1% 9.1% 10.3% 9.2% 11.0% 9.0% 7.1% 7.4% 2.4% 0.3%
Rose von Eckartsberg 2.7% 3.0% 2.8% 3.6% 3.8% 4.5% 5.4% 6.7% 8.2% 10.4% 13.4% 27.9% 7.6%
Eric Johnson 4.4% 3.8% 4.4% 5.6% 6.6% 5.4% 7.5% 8.7% 10.1% 11.6% 14.8% 14.3% 2.9%
Abigail Eck 0.4% 0.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 1.2% 1.1% 1.3% 2.0% 3.4% 8.0% 79.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.