Race 6B

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Valerio Palamara 16.4% 16.8% 13.2% 11.6% 10.0% 9.3% 8.1% 6.0% 3.7% 2.5% 1.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Alexa Whitman 6.7% 8.5% 8.7% 9.5% 8.8% 9.4% 9.8% 9.7% 9.8% 8.2% 6.1% 4.2% 0.6%
Kayla Maguire 5.3% 5.7% 5.4% 5.6% 6.0% 7.0% 7.6% 9.2% 9.7% 11.2% 13.2% 11.8% 2.3%
Aston Atherton 11.8% 10.2% 11.7% 10.7% 11.1% 8.8% 9.2% 8.8% 7.1% 5.2% 3.5% 1.8% 0.1%
Jasper Waldman 9.2% 8.5% 9.3% 9.7% 9.4% 10.0% 10.4% 9.7% 8.7% 6.6% 5.0% 3.0% 0.5%
Bryce Nill 3.9% 4.3% 5.7% 4.9% 6.2% 5.9% 7.0% 8.7% 10.1% 11.7% 14.2% 14.2% 3.1%
Alan Becker 12.2% 10.8% 10.8% 10.1% 10.9% 10.6% 9.0% 7.5% 7.2% 5.8% 3.5% 1.4% 0.1%
Aidan Gurskis 7.8% 9.3% 8.6% 9.2% 8.9% 8.2% 8.9% 8.7% 9.2% 10.3% 5.5% 4.5% 0.9%
Patrick Tis 4.2% 4.7% 5.9% 6.7% 7.0% 7.6% 7.0% 8.6% 10.9% 11.9% 12.9% 10.5% 2.0%
Aidan Young 15.0% 13.8% 11.8% 11.6% 10.4% 10.2% 8.5% 7.0% 5.7% 3.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
Rose von Eckartsberg 3.0% 3.0% 2.8% 4.5% 4.2% 4.9% 5.1% 5.9% 7.3% 9.7% 14.8% 27.6% 7.1%
Eric Johnson 3.9% 4.0% 5.8% 5.7% 6.4% 7.0% 8.1% 9.2% 8.8% 11.8% 13.9% 12.3% 2.9%
Abigail Eck 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 1.2% 0.9% 1.7% 1.6% 3.6% 7.6% 80.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.