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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+8.82vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.01+7.26vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.23+5.46vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.33+3.85vs Predicted
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5Cornell University3.35+2.73vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+5.91vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.71+3.94vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.29-0.18vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.09+4.27vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.58+1.29vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.97-1.52vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.73-1.21vs Predicted
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13Columbia University1.30+3.48vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-4.88vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.20-6.55vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.02-6.80vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-9.79vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.80-7.72vs Predicted
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19University of Hawaii2.07-5.62vs Predicted
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20Salve Regina University0.97-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.82U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.26Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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8.46Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.85Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.73Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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11.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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10.94Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.82Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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13.27Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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11.29Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.48Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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10.79Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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16.48Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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8.45College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.2University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.28University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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13.38University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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17.25Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Lihan | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lyon | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Emily Billing | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 6.2% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 21.1% | 31.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 6.7% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 19.3% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.