← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hampton University1.47+3.33vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University0.60+3.11vs Predicted
-
3Virginia Tech0.73+1.88vs Predicted
-
4Princeton University0.27+2.02vs Predicted
-
5Drexel University0.23+1.27vs Predicted
-
6Syracuse University0.19+0.20vs Predicted
-
7Washington College-0.28+0.67vs Predicted
-
8Hamilton College0.59-2.63vs Predicted
-
9Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64-1.42vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-0.61vs Predicted
-
11Penn State Behrend-0.45-3.06vs Predicted
-
12William and Mary-0.36-4.05vs Predicted
-
13Monmouth University-2.85-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.33Hampton University1.4715.7%1st Place
-
5.11Christopher Newport University0.6012.2%1st Place
-
4.88Virginia Tech0.7313.5%1st Place
-
6.02Princeton University0.278.7%1st Place
-
6.27Drexel University0.237.4%1st Place
-
6.2Syracuse University0.198.9%1st Place
-
7.67Washington College-0.284.5%1st Place
-
5.37Hamilton College0.5911.1%1st Place
-
7.58Rochester Institute of Technology-0.645.3%1st Place
-
9.39SUNY Stony Brook-0.602.7%1st Place
-
7.94Penn State Behrend-0.454.2%1st Place
-
7.95William and Mary-0.365.3%1st Place
-
12.29Monmouth University-2.850.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Valerio Palamara | 15.7% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Aston Atherton | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
Aidan Young | 13.5% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
Jasper Waldman | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
Aidan Gurskis | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
Alexa Whitman | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
Patrick Tis | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 1.8% |
Alan Becker | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
Kayla Maguire | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 2.0% |
Rose von Eckartsberg | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 26.8% | 8.3% |
Bryce Nill | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 3.1% |
Eric Johnson | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 3.7% |
Abigail Eck | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 8.2% | 79.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.