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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.27+4.92vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.60+3.34vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.47+1.20vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.73+0.71vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College0.59+0.43vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University0.19+0.34vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.23-0.60vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64-0.21vs Predicted
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9Washington College-0.28-1.24vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-0.67vs Predicted
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11Penn State Behrend-0.45-3.02vs Predicted
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12William and Mary-0.36-3.99vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-2.08-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.92Princeton University0.279.7%1st Place
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5.34Christopher Newport University0.6010.2%1st Place
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4.2Hampton University1.4717.5%1st Place
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4.71Virginia Tech0.7315.8%1st Place
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5.43Hamilton College0.5910.2%1st Place
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6.34Syracuse University0.197.0%1st Place
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6.4Drexel University0.238.2%1st Place
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7.79Rochester Institute of Technology-0.644.5%1st Place
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7.76Washington College-0.284.5%1st Place
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9.33SUNY Stony Brook-0.602.8%1st Place
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7.98Penn State Behrend-0.454.5%1st Place
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8.01William and Mary-0.364.3%1st Place
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11.8Monmouth University-2.080.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Waldman | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Aston Atherton | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Valerio Palamara | 17.5% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 15.8% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Alan Becker | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Alexa Whitman | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Kayla Maguire | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 4.8% |
| Patrick Tis | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 4.2% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 24.2% | 12.4% |
| Bryce Nill | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 5.3% |
| Eric Johnson | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 5.1% |
| Isabella Hughes | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 13.1% | 64.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.