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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.02+6.39vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.01+5.44vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.58+6.27vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.23+2.80vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.09+5.99vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.71+2.95vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.73+1.71vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.20-1.25vs Predicted
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9Cornell University3.35-2.56vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-0.32vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii2.07+0.31vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.80-3.64vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.88-4.77vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.29-7.38vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.97-7.26vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.97-1.41vs Predicted
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17Columbia University1.30-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.39University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.44Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.27Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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6.8Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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10.99Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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8.95Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.71Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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6.75College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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6.44Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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11.31University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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8.36University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
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8.23U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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6.62Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.74Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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14.59Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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13.75Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanel Miller | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Molly McKinney | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 7.5% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Solvig Sayre | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Grace Lucas | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Turner | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 7.7% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Emily Billing | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 18.6% | 42.8% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 21.5% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.