Race 9B

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Valerio Palamara 18.7% 16.1% 14.2% 13.2% 10.3% 7.6% 7.2% 4.8% 4.2% 2.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Alexa Whitman 9.3% 9.0% 10.4% 9.2% 9.8% 8.5% 9.1% 8.4% 8.1% 7.5% 5.8% 3.6% 1.1%
Alan Becker 12.3% 12.2% 10.7% 11.3% 9.9% 10.5% 9.6% 7.8% 6.5% 4.5% 2.8% 1.6% 0.2%
Daniel Hale 5.9% 6.6% 6.3% 6.5% 7.2% 8.6% 9.0% 8.8% 9.5% 10.2% 9.8% 8.4% 3.0%
Bryce Nill 4.9% 4.9% 5.1% 6.5% 6.6% 6.5% 7.5% 8.6% 9.8% 10.7% 12.8% 11.8% 4.3%
Aston Atherton 13.1% 11.9% 11.8% 11.5% 10.0% 9.8% 8.3% 8.4% 6.4% 5.0% 2.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Aidan Gurskis 8.2% 9.3% 9.2% 8.2% 9.7% 10.0% 9.0% 9.4% 9.0% 8.0% 6.1% 3.1% 0.9%
Kayla Maguire 5.9% 5.8% 5.1% 6.3% 7.0% 7.7% 7.6% 7.6% 10.7% 10.9% 11.1% 10.5% 3.9%
Jasper Waldman 9.5% 9.5% 10.2% 9.2% 10.6% 9.9% 9.0% 8.8% 7.5% 7.2% 4.9% 2.9% 0.7%
Patrick Tis 4.8% 5.9% 5.5% 6.9% 6.5% 7.3% 8.8% 9.3% 8.9% 10.0% 12.4% 10.2% 3.5%
Eric Johnson 4.3% 5.1% 6.4% 5.7% 6.3% 7.3% 7.1% 8.8% 9.3% 10.8% 12.1% 12.0% 4.7%
Rose von Eckartsberg 2.1% 3.4% 4.2% 4.5% 4.3% 4.5% 5.5% 7.2% 7.4% 9.2% 12.9% 21.5% 13.4%
Isabella Hughes 0.8% 0.4% 1.1% 0.9% 1.8% 1.8% 2.1% 2.1% 2.6% 3.8% 5.9% 12.8% 64.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.