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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.65+11.56vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.17+5.77vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68+3.63vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+4.15vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.00+4.44vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.11+2.53vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.27+1.34vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.05+0.49vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.44-1.08vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.71-3.17vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.97-3.27vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-4.32vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.69-2.78vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.17-5.60vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-1.17vs Predicted
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16Cornell University0.93-7.36vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.02-5.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.56Christopher Newport University0.652.4%1st Place
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7.77Eckerd College1.176.7%1st Place
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6.63St. Mary's College of Maryland1.689.7%1st Place
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8.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.736.0%1st Place
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9.44Connecticut College1.004.5%1st Place
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8.53Tufts University1.116.0%1st Place
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8.34Northwestern University1.275.9%1st Place
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8.49University of Vermont1.056.6%1st Place
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7.92George Washington University1.446.7%1st Place
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6.83University of Southern California1.719.1%1st Place
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7.73Boston University0.978.1%1st Place
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7.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.277.8%1st Place
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10.22Northeastern University0.694.0%1st Place
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8.4Fordham University1.176.3%1st Place
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13.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.1%1st Place
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8.64Cornell University0.936.1%1st Place
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11.84SUNY Maritime College-0.023.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Watlington | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 17.3% | 21.8% |
| Jordan Vieira | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Nathan Jensen | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| William Hurd | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 3.7% |
| Brayden Benesch | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Jake Weinstein | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| James Kopack | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Gavin Hudson | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 5.9% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 38.9% |
| Boris Bialer | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.