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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.73+2.50vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut2.62+1.73vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University3.26-0.31vs Predicted
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4Bates College2.26+0.39vs Predicted
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5Brandeis University1.25+1.31vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College1.23-0.59vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy2.20-3.47vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire0.21-0.84vs Predicted
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10Amherst College0.92-2.95vs Predicted
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11Williams College0.22-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Bowdoin College2.730.2%1st Place
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3.73University of Connecticut2.620.2%1st Place
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2.69Northeastern University3.260.3%1st Place
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4.39Bates College2.260.1%1st Place
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6.31Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
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6.41Middlebury College1.230.1%1st Place
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4.53Maine Maritime Academy2.200.1%1st Place
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8.16University of New Hampshire0.210.0%1st Place
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7.05Amherst College0.920.0%1st Place
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8.24Williams College0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Williamson | 20.6% | 17.4% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Peter Giuliano | 15.6% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 30.0% | 23.6% | 17.7% | 14.1% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Pierce | 10.2% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Jared Dunn | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 17.3% | 18.2% | 13.6% | 6.3% |
| Anna Hopper | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 17.2% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 7.4% |
| John Joseph | 8.1% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Terry Clarke | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 14.4% | 22.8% | 35.4% |
| Nick Belsito | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 19.6% | 19.5% | 12.3% |
| Joshua Revkin | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 24.3% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.