Race 10B

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alexa Whitman 8.2% 10.1% 8.2% 8.8% 10.4% 10.5% 9.8% 9.0% 7.5% 7.4% 5.7% 3.2% 1.1%
Jasper Waldman 10.0% 9.8% 8.6% 9.8% 8.9% 10.4% 9.8% 9.7% 7.8% 6.7% 5.5% 2.3% 0.7%
Valerio Palamara 16.8% 17.5% 16.0% 12.6% 10.8% 7.1% 6.2% 5.5% 3.7% 1.9% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Aston Atherton 12.9% 11.8% 13.6% 11.7% 11.2% 8.9% 8.6% 7.3% 5.1% 4.7% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
Eric Johnson 5.9% 4.5% 4.3% 6.6% 5.8% 7.2% 7.6% 7.8% 9.6% 10.3% 12.6% 13.4% 4.5%
Aidan Gurskis 9.6% 8.9% 8.9% 8.8% 9.2% 10.3% 8.8% 8.2% 8.6% 8.3% 5.9% 3.2% 1.4%
Bryce Nill 4.3% 4.3% 5.9% 5.8% 6.5% 6.7% 8.3% 7.8% 10.7% 10.5% 11.5% 12.8% 4.9%
Kayla Maguire 4.8% 5.2% 6.6% 7.0% 5.7% 7.0% 8.5% 7.8% 10.2% 11.2% 10.2% 11.3% 4.5%
Alan Becker 12.2% 12.2% 10.8% 10.3% 10.8% 10.0% 10.0% 7.3% 6.6% 4.7% 3.1% 1.8% 0.3%
Patrick Tis 5.6% 5.3% 6.1% 6.8% 6.9% 7.0% 8.1% 10.2% 9.7% 10.0% 10.9% 9.8% 3.6%
Daniel Hale 5.2% 5.7% 7.0% 6.5% 8.0% 7.8% 7.8% 8.8% 10.3% 11.2% 10.1% 8.8% 2.9%
Rose von Eckartsberg 3.6% 3.4% 3.2% 4.2% 4.4% 4.8% 4.5% 7.6% 7.2% 9.2% 13.9% 19.7% 14.2%
Isabella Hughes 0.9% 1.2% 0.9% 1.1% 1.6% 2.3% 1.8% 2.9% 3.1% 3.9% 6.3% 12.6% 61.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.