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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.29+5.41vs Predicted
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2Cornell University3.35+4.25vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+5.13vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.58+5.28vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.73+3.51vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.23+0.91vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.01+0.65vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.97-0.45vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.09+2.29vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.02-2.56vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-1.14vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.20-5.16vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.71-4.08vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii2.07-2.67vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.80-6.63vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.97-1.44vs Predicted
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17Columbia University1.30-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.25Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.13U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.28Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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8.51Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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6.91Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.65Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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7.55Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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11.29Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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7.44University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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6.84College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.92Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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11.33University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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8.37University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
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14.56Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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13.71Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Billing | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Turner | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Solvig Sayre | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 6.8% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Brooke Lyon | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 8.2% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 18.1% | 42.5% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 19.3% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.