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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.47+2.91vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.32+5.04vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.19+2.78vs Predicted
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4Drexel University0.23+2.00vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College0.59-0.10vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.20+1.23vs Predicted
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7Penn State Behrend-0.45+0.74vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64-0.67vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-0.36-1.36vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-0.91vs Predicted
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11Washington College-0.28-3.62vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-2.08-0.42vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University-0.84-7.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91Hampton University1.4718.6%1st Place
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7.04Princeton University-0.326.3%1st Place
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5.78Syracuse University0.199.8%1st Place
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6.0Drexel University0.238.6%1st Place
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4.9Hamilton College0.5913.4%1st Place
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7.23Virginia Tech-0.205.8%1st Place
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7.74Penn State Behrend-0.455.5%1st Place
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7.33Rochester Institute of Technology-0.645.1%1st Place
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7.64William and Mary-0.365.6%1st Place
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9.09SUNY Stony Brook-0.602.7%1st Place
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7.38Washington College-0.285.6%1st Place
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11.58Monmouth University-2.081.2%1st Place
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5.39Christopher Newport University-0.8411.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 18.6% | 17.3% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
| Alexa Whitman | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Alan Becker | 13.4% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Hale | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 3.0% |
| Bryce Nill | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 4.5% |
| Kayla Maguire | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 3.3% |
| Eric Johnson | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 4.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 20.6% | 12.2% |
| Patrick Tis | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 3.1% |
| Isabella Hughes | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 11.0% | 64.3% |
| Laura Smith | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.