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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.58+8.05vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.29+4.49vs Predicted
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3Cornell University3.35+3.32vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.20+2.93vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.01+2.44vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.88+2.29vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.73+1.72vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.07+2.96vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.80-0.43vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.02-2.55vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-1.09vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.71-3.29vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.23-6.10vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.97-6.16vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.09-3.88vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.97-1.43vs Predicted
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17Columbia University1.30-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.05Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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6.49Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.32Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.93College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.44Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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8.29U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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8.72Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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10.96University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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8.57University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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7.45University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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8.71Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.9Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.84Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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11.12Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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14.57Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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13.73Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Emily Billing | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Turner | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Grace Lucas | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Solvig Sayre | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Brooke Lyon | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 2.9% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 7.4% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 9.2% | 18.3% | 43.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 20.8% | 29.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.