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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.47+2.70vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University0.19+3.30vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.32+3.44vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.20+2.62vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.28+1.78vs Predicted
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6Penn State Behrend-0.45+1.03vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64-0.14vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.36-1.13vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College0.59-4.42vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University-0.84-5.12vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-2.75vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-2.08-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7Hampton University1.4720.9%1st Place
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5.3Syracuse University0.1911.5%1st Place
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6.44Princeton University-0.327.0%1st Place
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6.62Virginia Tech-0.206.8%1st Place
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6.78Washington College-0.285.3%1st Place
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7.03Penn State Behrend-0.455.7%1st Place
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6.86Rochester Institute of Technology-0.645.8%1st Place
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6.87William and Mary-0.365.8%1st Place
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4.58Hamilton College0.5915.2%1st Place
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4.88Christopher Newport University-0.8411.6%1st Place
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8.25SUNY Stony Brook-0.603.3%1st Place
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10.68Monmouth University-2.081.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 20.9% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 3.3% |
| Daniel Hale | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 3.5% |
| Patrick Tis | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 3.3% |
| Bryce Nill | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 5.1% |
| Kayla Maguire | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 3.6% |
| Eric Johnson | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 4.5% |
| Alan Becker | 15.2% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Laura Smith | 11.6% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 20.5% | 12.9% |
| Isabella Hughes | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 12.8% | 62.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.