← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Eckerd College2.73+8.42vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.23+5.35vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.58+7.06vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston3.20+3.26vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+5.21vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.01+2.02vs Predicted
-
7Yale University3.29-0.10vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+0.75vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University3.35-2.39vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University0.97+5.47vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida2.80-1.95vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University2.09+0.07vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Naval Academy2.88-4.59vs Predicted
-
14University of Hawaii2.07-2.48vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island3.02-7.07vs Predicted
-
16Georgetown University2.71-6.66vs Predicted
-
17Old Dominion University2.97-8.72vs Predicted
-
18Columbia University1.30-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.42Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
-
7.35Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
-
10.06Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
-
7.26College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
-
10.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
-
8.02Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
6.9Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
-
8.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
-
6.61Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
-
15.47Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
-
9.05University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
-
12.07Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
-
8.41U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
-
11.52University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
-
7.93University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
-
9.34Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
-
8.28Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
-
14.36Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solvig Sayre | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Molly McKinney | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Grace Lucas | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 2.6% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Emily Billing | 10.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Lauren Turner | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Mary Clawson | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 17.5% | 44.6% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 8.6% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 7.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Andrea Luna | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 21.2% | 26.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.