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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.58+9.00vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.29+5.02vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.23+4.38vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.02+3.90vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.97+3.18vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+2.83vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+3.33vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.07+3.73vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.71+0.25vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.09+1.99vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.73-1.71vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.09vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.80-4.32vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.20-7.02vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.01-7.03vs Predicted
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16Cornell University3.35-9.25vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.97-1.55vs Predicted
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18Columbia University1.30-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.0Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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7.02Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.38Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.9University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.18Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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10.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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11.73University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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9.25Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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11.99Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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9.29Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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8.91U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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8.68University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
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6.98College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.97Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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6.75Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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15.45Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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14.36Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Emily Billing | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Chloe Lepert | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Brooke Lyon | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 6.7% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Rachel Perry | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 7.2% |
| Solvig Sayre | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Grace Lucas | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Turner | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 46.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 21.9% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.