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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.05+2.97vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.67+3.00vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.60+2.25vs Predicted
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4Amherst College-0.35+3.73vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College0.03+1.31vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.33-0.15vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.42-2.30vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08+1.94vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20+1.24vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.62-1.32vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University-0.42-3.12vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-0.79-2.92vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-1.28-2.55vs Predicted
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14McGill University-1.05-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97University of Rhode Island1.0519.2%1st Place
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5.0Bates College0.6712.8%1st Place
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5.25Connecticut College0.6012.2%1st Place
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7.73Amherst College-0.355.0%1st Place
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6.31Middlebury College0.038.0%1st Place
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5.85Brown University0.338.3%1st Place
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4.7Fairfield University0.4215.1%1st Place
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9.94University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.082.1%1st Place
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10.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.202.1%1st Place
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8.68University of Vermont-0.623.8%1st Place
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7.88Northeastern University-0.424.4%1st Place
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9.08Salve Regina University-0.793.0%1st Place
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10.45Bentley University-1.281.8%1st Place
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9.92McGill University-1.051.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 19.2% | 17.2% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ted Lutton | 12.8% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Nat Edmonds | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Walter Chiles | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Keller Morrison | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Nolan Cooper | 15.1% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kai Latham | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 17.4% |
| cole capizzo | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 19.1% |
| Ryan Begin | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 6.5% |
| Tyler Meadows | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.7% |
| Sean Morrison | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 8.3% |
| Brett Tardie | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 23.1% |
| Cecilia Muller | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.