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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.05+2.88vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College0.03+4.16vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.67+1.91vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont-0.62+4.54vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20+5.08vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.60-0.70vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08+2.88vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.42-3.17vs Predicted
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9Brown University0.33-3.17vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-0.79-0.86vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University-0.42-2.88vs Predicted
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12McGill University-1.05-1.96vs Predicted
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13Amherst College-0.35-5.29vs Predicted
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14Bentley University-1.28-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88University of Rhode Island1.0520.0%1st Place
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6.16Middlebury College0.037.8%1st Place
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4.91Bates College0.6713.1%1st Place
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8.54University of Vermont-0.624.2%1st Place
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10.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.202.4%1st Place
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5.3Connecticut College0.6011.9%1st Place
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9.88University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.082.1%1st Place
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4.83Fairfield University0.4213.1%1st Place
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5.83Brown University0.338.8%1st Place
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9.14Salve Regina University-0.793.0%1st Place
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8.12Northeastern University-0.423.9%1st Place
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10.04McGill University-1.052.7%1st Place
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7.71Amherst College-0.355.2%1st Place
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10.59Bentley University-1.281.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 20.0% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Walter Chiles | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Ted Lutton | 13.1% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Begin | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 5.8% |
| cole capizzo | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 18.3% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 11.9% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kai Latham | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 16.4% |
| Nolan Cooper | 13.1% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Keller Morrison | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Sean Morrison | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.3% |
| Tyler Meadows | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% |
| Cecilia Muller | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 16.8% |
| Nat Edmonds | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Brett Tardie | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 24.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.