← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.20+6.51vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.23+5.29vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.71+6.46vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.29+2.81vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+3.75vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida2.80+2.88vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University2.09+4.76vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University3.35-1.40vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+1.31vs Predicted
-
10Eckerd College2.73-0.57vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College2.58-1.07vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island3.02-3.66vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University2.97-4.96vs Predicted
-
14Brown University3.01-6.33vs Predicted
-
15Columbia University1.30-0.58vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Naval Academy2.88-7.42vs Predicted
-
17University of Hawaii2.07-5.01vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University0.97-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.51College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
-
7.29Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
-
9.46Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
-
6.81Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
-
8.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
-
8.88University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
-
11.76Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
-
6.6Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
-
10.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
-
9.43Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
-
9.93Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
-
8.34University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
-
8.04Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
-
7.67Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
14.42Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
-
8.58U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
-
11.99University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
-
15.23Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Lucas | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Emily Billing | 9.4% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Chloe Lepert | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Rachel Perry | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 7.5% |
| Lauren Turner | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Solvig Sayre | 6.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Andrea Luna | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 19.8% | 27.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 8.4% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 16.6% | 42.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.