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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.29+6.14vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.02+6.23vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+5.74vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.71+5.14vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.01+2.95vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.58+3.88vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.23+0.16vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.09+3.64vs Predicted
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9Cornell University3.35-2.44vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii2.07+2.11vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-2.04vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.80-2.75vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-2.86vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.73-5.10vs Predicted
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15Columbia University1.30-0.56vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.97-0.66vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.97-8.66vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.20-10.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.14Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.23University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.74U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.14Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.95Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.88Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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7.16Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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11.64Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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6.56Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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12.11University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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8.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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9.25University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
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10.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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8.9Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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14.44Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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15.34Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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8.34Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.07College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Billing | 7.6% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.3% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Rachel Perry | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 6.7% |
| Lauren Turner | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 8.5% |
| Chloe Lepert | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Brooke Lyon | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Solvig Sayre | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 20.4% | 27.0% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 9.7% | 17.7% | 42.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Grace Lucas | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.