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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.05+2.98vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.67+2.96vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.79+6.06vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.60+1.19vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University-0.42+2.90vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20+4.22vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.42-2.26vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont-0.62+0.66vs Predicted
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9McGill University-1.05+0.87vs Predicted
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10Amherst College-0.35-2.24vs Predicted
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11Bentley University-1.28-0.41vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08-1.97vs Predicted
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13Brown University0.33-7.09vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College0.03-7.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98University of Rhode Island1.0518.4%1st Place
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4.96Bates College0.6712.0%1st Place
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9.06Salve Regina University-0.793.4%1st Place
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5.19Connecticut College0.6012.5%1st Place
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7.9Northeastern University-0.424.4%1st Place
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10.22Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.202.5%1st Place
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4.74Fairfield University0.4213.9%1st Place
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8.66University of Vermont-0.624.0%1st Place
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9.87McGill University-1.052.2%1st Place
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7.76Amherst College-0.355.1%1st Place
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10.59Bentley University-1.281.6%1st Place
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10.03University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.082.2%1st Place
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5.91Brown University0.338.8%1st Place
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6.13Middlebury College0.038.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 18.4% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ted Lutton | 12.0% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sean Morrison | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 8.6% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 12.5% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Meadows | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| cole capizzo | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 19.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 13.9% | 15.0% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Begin | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% |
| Cecilia Muller | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 15.3% |
| Nat Edmonds | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Brett Tardie | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 25.0% |
| Kai Latham | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 17.6% |
| Keller Morrison | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Walter Chiles | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.