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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.23+6.49vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.02+6.37vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.09+9.13vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.58+5.86vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.20+2.38vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.29+1.07vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-0.47vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.80+0.88vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.71+0.33vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.73-0.45vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.88-2.17vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-1.21vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.97-4.82vs Predicted
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14Columbia University1.30+0.23vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.01-6.94vs Predicted
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16Cornell University3.35-9.12vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii2.07-4.88vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University0.97-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.49Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.37University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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12.13Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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9.86Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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7.38College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.07Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.88University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
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9.33Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.55Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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8.83U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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10.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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8.18Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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14.23Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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8.06Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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6.88Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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12.12University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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15.3Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McKinney | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 8.4% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Emily Billing | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Vincent | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Solvig Sayre | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 3.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 20.1% | 27.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Lauren Turner | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 8.1% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 17.4% | 42.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.