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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.29+6.24vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.02+6.34vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.97+5.54vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.88+4.60vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.07+6.78vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.20+1.40vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.71+2.38vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.01+0.09vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.58+0.95vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.23-2.48vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.80-1.80vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-1.21vs Predicted
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13Cornell University3.35-6.32vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.73-4.94vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.97+0.37vs Predicted
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16Columbia University1.30-1.35vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.09-4.94vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-11.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.24Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.34University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.54Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.6U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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11.78University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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7.4College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.38Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.09Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.95Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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7.52Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.2University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
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10.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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6.68Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.06Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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15.37Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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14.65Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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12.06Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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6.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Billing | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 6.1% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Molly McKinney | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 3.3% |
| Lauren Turner | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Solvig Sayre | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Mary Clawson | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 17.8% | 42.9% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 19.0% | 29.8% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 8.3% |
| Hanna Vincent | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.