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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.05+3.08vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College0.03+4.13vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.79+6.24vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.42+0.76vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20+5.24vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.33-0.15vs Predicted
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7Bates College0.67-2.04vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.60-2.78vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University-0.42-1.00vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.62-1.42vs Predicted
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11Amherst College-0.35-3.46vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08-1.87vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-1.28-2.45vs Predicted
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14McGill University-1.05-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08University of Rhode Island1.0519.1%1st Place
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6.13Middlebury College0.038.6%1st Place
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9.24Salve Regina University-0.793.3%1st Place
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4.76Fairfield University0.4213.3%1st Place
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10.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.202.1%1st Place
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5.85Brown University0.338.3%1st Place
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4.96Bates College0.6712.7%1st Place
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5.22Connecticut College0.6011.6%1st Place
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8.0Northeastern University-0.425.0%1st Place
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8.58University of Vermont-0.624.1%1st Place
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7.54Amherst College-0.354.7%1st Place
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10.13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.082.5%1st Place
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10.55Bentley University-1.282.0%1st Place
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9.73McGill University-1.052.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 19.1% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Walter Chiles | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Sean Morrison | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 9.8% |
| Nolan Cooper | 13.3% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| cole capizzo | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 21.4% |
| Keller Morrison | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Ted Lutton | 12.7% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Meadows | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| Ryan Begin | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 6.0% |
| Nat Edmonds | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Kai Latham | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 16.8% |
| Brett Tardie | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 23.8% |
| Cecilia Muller | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.