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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University-0.79+8.54vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.05+2.11vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College0.03+3.40vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University-0.91+6.04vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20+5.71vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.33-0.03vs Predicted
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7Bates College0.67-1.97vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont-0.62+0.96vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.42-4.04vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.60-4.57vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08-0.30vs Predicted
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12Amherst College-0.35-3.90vs Predicted
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13McGill University-1.05-2.53vs Predicted
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14Bentley University-1.28-2.90vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University-0.42-6.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.54Salve Regina University-0.793.5%1st Place
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4.11University of Rhode Island1.0517.7%1st Place
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6.4Middlebury College0.038.2%1st Place
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10.04Wesleyan University-0.911.8%1st Place
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10.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.202.9%1st Place
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5.97Brown University0.338.9%1st Place
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5.03Bates College0.6712.7%1st Place
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8.96University of Vermont-0.623.4%1st Place
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4.96Fairfield University0.4214.3%1st Place
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5.43Connecticut College0.6010.8%1st Place
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10.7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.082.9%1st Place
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8.1Amherst College-0.354.2%1st Place
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10.47McGill University-1.052.4%1st Place
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11.1Bentley University-1.282.1%1st Place
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8.5Northeastern University-0.424.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Morrison | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.4% |
| Adam Strobridge | 17.7% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Walter Chiles | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Rory McClenahan | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.2% |
| cole capizzo | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 16.6% |
| Keller Morrison | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Ted Lutton | 12.7% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Begin | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 4.8% |
| Nolan Cooper | 14.3% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 10.8% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Kai Latham | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 16.9% |
| Nat Edmonds | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Cecilia Muller | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 14.4% |
| Brett Tardie | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 22.2% |
| Tyler Meadows | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.