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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.38+3.78vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.77+1.61vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.00+0.44vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.32+0.86vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.37+2.03vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.67+2.00vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-1.10+2.10vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-0.93+0.39vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont-0.62-1.26vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-0.74-2.05vs Predicted
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11McGill University-1.51-0.92vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.79-3.79vs Predicted
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13Amherst College-1.69-2.45vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.04-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78Brown University0.3812.3%1st Place
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3.61Northeastern University0.7720.8%1st Place
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3.44Connecticut College1.0022.7%1st Place
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4.86University of Rhode Island0.3212.0%1st Place
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7.03Middlebury College-0.375.9%1st Place
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8.0Bates College-0.673.9%1st Place
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9.1Bentley University-1.102.3%1st Place
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8.39Salve Regina University-0.933.5%1st Place
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7.74University of Vermont-0.624.0%1st Place
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7.95Fairfield University-0.744.6%1st Place
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10.08McGill University-1.512.1%1st Place
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8.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.793.5%1st Place
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10.55Amherst College-1.691.4%1st Place
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11.26University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.041.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Case | 12.3% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Peter Taboada | 20.8% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Hurd | 22.7% | 18.6% | 17.4% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Masiello | 12.0% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Penelope Weekes | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Amanda Yolles | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 7.7% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 4.0% |
| Ryan Petrush | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| Timothy Cronin | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Alex Anderson | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 16.5% | 16.4% |
| Murphy Olson | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Adrian Whitney | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 22.0% |
| Iain Gillespie | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 16.6% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.