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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+7.13vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+5.68vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.00+6.38vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.17+3.68vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68+1.71vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.05+2.52vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.69+3.04vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.44-0.18vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.17-0.61vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.71-3.15vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.27-2.71vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.11-3.43vs Predicted
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13Cornell University0.93-4.45vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.65-1.26vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.97-7.22vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-1.91vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.02-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.736.6%1st Place
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7.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.276.8%1st Place
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9.38Connecticut College1.005.5%1st Place
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7.68Eckerd College1.177.5%1st Place
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6.71St. Mary's College of Maryland1.688.8%1st Place
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8.52University of Vermont1.055.6%1st Place
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10.04Northeastern University0.694.5%1st Place
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7.82George Washington University1.447.8%1st Place
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8.39Fordham University1.176.0%1st Place
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6.85University of Southern California1.719.8%1st Place
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8.29Northwestern University1.276.0%1st Place
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8.57Tufts University1.115.8%1st Place
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8.55Cornell University0.936.0%1st Place
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12.74Christopher Newport University0.652.3%1st Place
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7.78Boston University0.976.9%1st Place
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14.09U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.2%1st Place
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11.79SUNY Maritime College-0.022.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Zylinski | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| James Kopack | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| William Hurd | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Nathan Jensen | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Gavin Hudson | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Jake Weinstein | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Brayden Benesch | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Boris Bialer | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 12.2% | 17.6% | 21.9% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 40.7% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.